Race 4C

spring-oberg

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

60.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Connor Macken 10.8% 11.4% 12.0% 12.3% 11.2% 10.5% 10.0% 9.6% 9.2% 3.1%
Julius Heitkoetter 11.9% 12.4% 11.1% 11.8% 11.0% 11.2% 10.7% 10.2% 6.6% 3.0%
Connor Rosow 12.2% 10.9% 12.3% 10.1% 11.5% 11.5% 9.8% 9.3% 9.0% 3.5%
Chip Kreuzkamp 15.1% 13.2% 11.6% 12.2% 10.6% 10.8% 10.3% 8.1% 5.9% 2.1%
Luke Hosek 7.1% 8.4% 10.1% 9.1% 8.5% 10.5% 11.2% 12.4% 15.7% 7.0%
Jonathan Riley 10.3% 11.1% 11.5% 11.0% 10.9% 11.2% 10.9% 11.0% 8.9% 3.1%
Elliott Mendenhall 8.4% 9.3% 8.3% 8.3% 10.1% 9.4% 11.4% 12.7% 15.8% 6.3%
Santiago Hirschmann 9.9% 8.7% 9.7% 10.9% 11.8% 10.7% 11.2% 11.8% 10.9% 4.3%
Shea Smith 12.4% 12.0% 11.2% 12.2% 11.7% 10.9% 10.3% 9.1% 7.7% 2.4%
Anna Kovacs 1.7% 2.5% 2.2% 1.9% 2.8% 3.2% 4.3% 5.8% 10.5% 65.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.