Race 5C

spring-oberg

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Connor Macken 12.1% 9.7% 11.5% 11.2% 10.4% 10.8% 10.8% 10.2% 9.7% 3.8%
Jonathan Riley 10.8% 10.4% 11.8% 10.6% 11.0% 11.3% 11.2% 11.9% 7.6% 3.2%
Chip Kreuzkamp 13.9% 14.3% 12.3% 11.4% 12.2% 10.8% 9.3% 8.4% 5.5% 1.8%
Elliott Mendenhall 7.6% 8.5% 8.6% 9.0% 8.8% 10.2% 11.4% 12.2% 16.4% 7.3%
Shea Smith 14.2% 13.1% 10.5% 12.0% 11.3% 10.8% 10.8% 8.6% 6.7% 1.8%
Luke Hosek 6.5% 7.5% 8.2% 10.5% 10.4% 11.0% 11.7% 13.1% 15.0% 6.1%
Julius Heitkoetter 11.7% 12.5% 12.6% 11.6% 11.2% 10.2% 11.0% 8.8% 8.6% 1.9%
Connor Rosow 11.5% 11.4% 11.7% 10.4% 11.8% 10.9% 10.1% 10.8% 8.9% 2.6%
Santiago Hirschmann 10.2% 10.7% 11.2% 10.8% 10.2% 9.8% 10.3% 10.1% 11.5% 5.3%
Anna Kovacs 1.5% 1.9% 1.8% 2.4% 2.6% 4.2% 3.5% 6.0% 10.2% 66.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.