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📊 Prediction Accuracy
60.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University1.42+4.04vs Predicted
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2Roger Williams University1.01+3.82vs Predicted
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3Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.45+1.81vs Predicted
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4Boston University0.97+1.83vs Predicted
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5Northwestern University1.49-0.25vs Predicted
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6Boston College1.63-1.33vs Predicted
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7Northeastern University1.17-1.62vs Predicted
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8University of Rhode Island1.38-2.94vs Predicted
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9Tufts University1.51-4.15vs Predicted
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10Northwestern University-0.54-1.21vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.04Brown University1.4211.7%1st Place
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5.82Roger Williams University1.018.1%1st Place
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4.81Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.4512.8%1st Place
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5.83Boston University0.977.8%1st Place
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4.75Northwestern University1.4913.7%1st Place
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4.67Boston College1.6313.3%1st Place
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5.38Northeastern University1.1710.0%1st Place
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5.06University of Rhode Island1.3810.4%1st Place
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4.85Tufts University1.5110.9%1st Place
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8.79Northwestern University-0.541.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
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Connor Macken | 11.7% | 10.5% | 10.4% | 10.9% | 11.6% | 11.2% | 12.2% | 10.3% | 8.7% | 2.4% |
Luke Hosek | 8.1% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 8.7% | 10.5% | 10.2% | 9.9% | 14.1% | 13.8% | 7.7% |
Julius Heitkoetter | 12.8% | 12.2% | 11.3% | 11.3% | 11.0% | 11.9% | 9.2% | 10.2% | 7.4% | 2.5% |
Elliott Mendenhall | 7.8% | 8.0% | 9.3% | 8.9% | 10.4% | 10.1% | 10.8% | 11.2% | 16.4% | 7.1% |
Shea Smith | 13.7% | 12.5% | 11.7% | 10.4% | 11.2% | 11.8% | 9.8% | 9.1% | 7.2% | 2.6% |
Chip Kreuzkamp | 13.3% | 12.4% | 11.5% | 13.3% | 10.7% | 11.7% | 10.2% | 8.3% | 6.7% | 2.0% |
Santiago Hirschmann | 10.0% | 9.2% | 10.8% | 11.5% | 8.9% | 10.2% | 11.1% | 11.9% | 13.0% | 3.6% |
Jonathan Riley | 10.4% | 11.8% | 11.2% | 10.7% | 11.6% | 10.3% | 11.4% | 10.0% | 8.9% | 3.5% |
Connor Rosow | 10.9% | 12.7% | 13.1% | 11.8% | 11.4% | 9.6% | 10.3% | 9.6% | 7.8% | 2.9% |
Anna Kovacs | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 10.2% | 65.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.