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📊 Prediction Accuracy

60.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Connor Macken 11.7% 10.5% 10.4% 10.9% 11.6% 11.2% 12.2% 10.3% 8.7% 2.4%
Luke Hosek 8.1% 8.8% 8.3% 8.7% 10.5% 10.2% 9.9% 14.1% 13.8% 7.7%
Julius Heitkoetter 12.8% 12.2% 11.3% 11.3% 11.0% 11.9% 9.2% 10.2% 7.4% 2.5%
Elliott Mendenhall 7.8% 8.0% 9.3% 8.9% 10.4% 10.1% 10.8% 11.2% 16.4% 7.1%
Shea Smith 13.7% 12.5% 11.7% 10.4% 11.2% 11.8% 9.8% 9.1% 7.2% 2.6%
Chip Kreuzkamp 13.3% 12.4% 11.5% 13.3% 10.7% 11.7% 10.2% 8.3% 6.7% 2.0%
Santiago Hirschmann 10.0% 9.2% 10.8% 11.5% 8.9% 10.2% 11.1% 11.9% 13.0% 3.6%
Jonathan Riley 10.4% 11.8% 11.2% 10.7% 11.6% 10.3% 11.4% 10.0% 8.9% 3.5%
Connor Rosow 10.9% 12.7% 13.1% 11.8% 11.4% 9.6% 10.3% 9.6% 7.8% 2.9%
Anna Kovacs 1.5% 1.8% 2.3% 2.5% 2.7% 3.1% 5.0% 5.3% 10.2% 65.6%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.