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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College1.63+3.51vs Predicted
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2Roger Williams University1.01+3.98vs Predicted
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3Northwestern University1.49+1.70vs Predicted
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4Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.45+0.89vs Predicted
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5University of Rhode Island1.38-0.03vs Predicted
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6Tufts University1.51-0.99vs Predicted
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7Brown University1.42-2.01vs Predicted
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8Northeastern University1.17-2.77vs Predicted
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9Boston University0.97-3.15vs Predicted
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10Northwestern University-0.54-1.14vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.51Boston College1.6314.4%1st Place
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5.98Roger Williams University1.017.6%1st Place
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4.7Northwestern University1.4913.4%1st Place
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4.89Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.4511.8%1st Place
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4.97University of Rhode Island1.3811.2%1st Place
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5.01Tufts University1.5112.0%1st Place
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4.99Brown University1.4211.2%1st Place
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5.23Northeastern University1.179.7%1st Place
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5.85Boston University0.977.1%1st Place
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8.86Northwestern University-0.541.6%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
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Chip Kreuzkamp | 14.4% | 13.7% | 12.6% | 11.5% | 11.7% | 10.1% | 10.8% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 1.5% |
Luke Hosek | 7.6% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 9.2% | 10.3% | 11.9% | 13.1% | 16.1% | 7.7% |
Shea Smith | 13.4% | 13.5% | 10.8% | 11.2% | 11.7% | 11.8% | 9.7% | 8.7% | 7.7% | 1.7% |
Julius Heitkoetter | 11.8% | 11.9% | 11.9% | 11.1% | 10.8% | 11.5% | 10.3% | 10.5% | 7.6% | 2.5% |
Jonathan Riley | 11.2% | 12.5% | 11.6% | 10.8% | 10.7% | 10.2% | 10.8% | 10.3% | 9.2% | 2.8% |
Connor Rosow | 12.0% | 9.7% | 11.7% | 12.6% | 10.9% | 9.9% | 10.3% | 10.9% | 8.9% | 3.1% |
Connor Macken | 11.2% | 10.7% | 11.7% | 11.8% | 10.8% | 12.1% | 10.7% | 9.7% | 8.6% | 2.8% |
Santiago Hirschmann | 9.7% | 10.5% | 10.9% | 10.3% | 11.2% | 11.6% | 10.9% | 10.7% | 10.4% | 3.8% |
Elliott Mendenhall | 7.1% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 10.5% | 10.3% | 9.7% | 10.4% | 13.0% | 15.0% | 7.1% |
Anna Kovacs | 1.6% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 10.4% | 67.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.