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📊 Prediction Accuracy
60.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.45+3.86vs Predicted
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2Northeastern University1.17+3.27vs Predicted
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3Boston College1.63+1.51vs Predicted
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4University of Rhode Island1.38+1.06vs Predicted
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5Boston University0.97+0.84vs Predicted
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6Brown University1.42-0.91vs Predicted
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7Roger Williams University1.01-1.07vs Predicted
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8Northwestern University1.49-3.36vs Predicted
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9Tufts University1.51-3.96vs Predicted
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10Northwestern University-0.54-1.24vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.86Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.4512.0%1st Place
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5.27Northeastern University1.1710.2%1st Place
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4.51Boston College1.6315.5%1st Place
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5.06University of Rhode Island1.3810.7%1st Place
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5.84Boston University0.978.2%1st Place
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5.09Brown University1.429.9%1st Place
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5.93Roger Williams University1.016.9%1st Place
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4.64Northwestern University1.4913.4%1st Place
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5.04Tufts University1.5111.2%1st Place
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8.76Northwestern University-0.541.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Julius Heitkoetter | 12.0% | 11.3% | 11.9% | 11.8% | 11.9% | 10.7% | 10.5% | 9.5% | 7.4% | 2.9% |
Santiago Hirschmann | 10.2% | 10.7% | 10.1% | 9.9% | 10.9% | 10.6% | 11.8% | 11.8% | 9.9% | 4.2% |
Chip Kreuzkamp | 15.5% | 12.4% | 12.1% | 11.5% | 12.7% | 10.7% | 9.4% | 8.1% | 6.0% | 1.7% |
Jonathan Riley | 10.7% | 11.4% | 11.5% | 11.6% | 10.8% | 10.3% | 9.9% | 10.7% | 9.8% | 3.3% |
Elliott Mendenhall | 8.2% | 9.1% | 8.9% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 10.1% | 12.5% | 13.2% | 15.0% | 7.0% |
Connor Macken | 9.9% | 12.5% | 10.4% | 10.7% | 11.1% | 11.2% | 11.2% | 10.7% | 9.3% | 2.9% |
Luke Hosek | 6.9% | 8.0% | 9.2% | 9.7% | 8.5% | 10.1% | 11.9% | 12.8% | 14.6% | 8.3% |
Shea Smith | 13.4% | 13.1% | 12.8% | 11.8% | 11.2% | 11.7% | 8.9% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 2.4% |
Connor Rosow | 11.2% | 9.8% | 10.7% | 12.8% | 12.0% | 11.9% | 9.6% | 9.8% | 9.8% | 2.5% |
Anna Kovacs | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 6.1% | 10.7% | 64.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.