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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University3.65+4.51vs Predicted
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2U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.32+4.52vs Predicted
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3University of Rhode Island2.86+4.95vs Predicted
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4Connecticut College3.33+2.46vs Predicted
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5Boston College3.50+0.87vs Predicted
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6Yale University3.50-0.15vs Predicted
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7Dartmouth College3.23-0.35vs Predicted
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8University of Vermont2.86-0.14vs Predicted
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9Bowdoin College2.56-0.11vs Predicted
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10Brown University3.45-3.91vs Predicted
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11Harvard University3.38-4.95vs Predicted
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12Boston University3.13-4.74vs Predicted
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13Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.17-2.98vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.51Tufts University3.650.1%1st Place
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6.52U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.320.1%1st Place
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7.95University of Rhode Island2.860.0%1st Place
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6.46Connecticut College3.330.1%1st Place
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5.87Boston College3.500.1%1st Place
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5.85Yale University3.500.1%1st Place
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6.65Dartmouth College3.230.1%1st Place
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7.86University of Vermont2.860.1%1st Place
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8.89Bowdoin College2.560.0%1st Place
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6.09Brown University3.450.1%1st Place
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6.05Harvard University3.380.1%1st Place
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7.26Boston University3.130.1%1st Place
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10.02Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.170.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Margaret Tautz | 12.1% | 10.6% | 10.6% | 10.0% | 9.0% | 11.5% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 1.0% |
| Jennifer Proctor | 8.0% | 8.1% | 8.7% | 7.5% | 10.6% | 9.0% | 6.9% | 8.8% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 5.9% | 3.1% |
| Liv Gunnarsson | 4.3% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 9.8% | 11.0% | 11.3% | 9.5% |
| Elizabeth Whipple | 9.2% | 7.6% | 8.9% | 9.1% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 9.6% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 3.6% |
| Emily Maxwell | 10.5% | 10.9% | 9.7% | 9.7% | 8.6% | 8.7% | 7.4% | 8.9% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 2.8% |
| Claire Dennis | 9.9% | 10.3% | 11.0% | 10.3% | 8.0% | 8.7% | 9.8% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 1.6% |
| Chandler Salisbury | 9.0% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 9.3% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 9.1% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 3.5% |
| Alexandra Arntsen | 5.3% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 8.7% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 10.9% | 12.0% | 8.9% |
| Katherine Doble | 4.0% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 9.0% | 9.5% | 11.1% | 13.0% | 19.3% |
| Emily Dellenbaugh | 10.4% | 8.9% | 10.0% | 8.5% | 10.0% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 8.8% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 2.6% |
| Elizabeth Powers | 8.9% | 10.7% | 9.4% | 8.5% | 8.9% | 8.9% | 10.4% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 3.9% | 3.0% |
| Brendan Cook | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 10.4% | 9.1% | 9.3% | 8.1% | 6.7% |
| Jamie Curran | 2.1% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 4.1% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 7.8% | 10.6% | 13.6% | 34.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.