← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Tufts University3.21+7.37vs Predicted
-
2Yale University3.72+4.31vs Predicted
-
3Boston College3.92+2.59vs Predicted
-
4Bowdoin College2.74+6.02vs Predicted
-
5Harvard University3.16+3.37vs Predicted
-
6University of Rhode Island2.95+3.26vs Predicted
-
7Northeastern University2.84+2.77vs Predicted
-
8U. S. Naval Academy2.51+3.00vs Predicted
-
9Connecticut College3.23-0.98vs Predicted
-
10Dartmouth College2.97-0.54vs Predicted
-
11Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.49+0.32vs Predicted
-
12University of Vermont2.90-2.24vs Predicted
-
13Boston University3.70-6.84vs Predicted
-
14U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.32-2.45vs Predicted
-
15Roger Williams University2.77-5.04vs Predicted
-
16Brown University3.05-7.11vs Predicted
-
17Northwestern University1.27-1.58vs Predicted
-
18Georgetown University2.30-6.22vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
8.37Tufts University3.210.1%1st Place
-
6.31Yale University3.720.1%1st Place
-
5.59Boston College3.920.1%1st Place
-
10.02Bowdoin College2.740.0%1st Place
-
8.37Harvard University3.160.1%1st Place
-
9.26University of Rhode Island2.950.1%1st Place
-
9.77Northeastern University2.840.0%1st Place
-
11.0U. S. Naval Academy2.510.0%1st Place
-
8.02Connecticut College3.230.1%1st Place
-
9.46Dartmouth College2.970.1%1st Place
-
11.32Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.490.0%1st Place
-
9.76University of Vermont2.900.0%1st Place
-
6.16Boston University3.700.1%1st Place
-
11.55U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.320.0%1st Place
-
9.96Roger Williams University2.770.0%1st Place
-
8.89Brown University3.050.0%1st Place
-
15.42Northwestern University1.270.0%1st Place
-
11.78Georgetown University2.300.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| David Liebenberg | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 2.9% | 0.8% |
| Joseph Kiss | 9.2% | 10.1% | 10.3% | 7.9% | 11.6% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| William Bailey | 11.7% | 12.4% | 11.4% | 10.5% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 2.3% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Tom Peabody | 4.4% | 3.3% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 3.9% |
| Gram Slattery | 6.3% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 2.6% | 1.3% |
| Matthew Coughlin | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 2.2% |
| Conor Lodge | 4.4% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 6.8% | 4.9% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 2.8% |
| Charles Peck | 3.6% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 3.3% | 5.8% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 8.4% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 7.5% | 11.2% | 4.9% |
| Bryce Kopp | 6.4% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 8.4% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 0.7% |
| Christopher Price | 6.2% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 2.1% |
| William Godfrey | 3.7% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 8.0% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 9.8% | 10.0% | 7.6% |
| William Crary | 4.9% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 3.1% |
| Ryan Astwood | 10.8% | 12.0% | 8.6% | 9.9% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Dylan Finneran | 3.1% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 11.7% | 10.9% | 8.0% |
| Henry Vogel | 4.6% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 8.6% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 2.8% |
| Drew Shea | 4.8% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 1.5% |
| Jacob Bruce | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 13.3% | 49.5% |
| Massimo Mazzolini | 3.2% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 8.6% | 11.7% | 9.8% | 8.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.