Race 10C

spring-oberg

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Jonathan Riley 11.1% 11.5% 11.0% 10.4% 10.2% 10.8% 11.6% 11.2% 8.9% 3.4%
Chip Kreuzkamp 15.0% 13.4% 11.7% 11.8% 11.8% 11.3% 8.6% 8.8% 5.9% 1.8%
Elliott Mendenhall 7.8% 7.7% 7.3% 9.1% 9.4% 10.4% 11.2% 13.1% 15.9% 8.0%
Shea Smith 13.9% 12.6% 11.7% 11.6% 12.4% 9.5% 9.6% 8.5% 7.6% 2.6%
Julius Heitkoetter 11.8% 13.2% 13.1% 12.3% 10.8% 9.9% 10.9% 8.8% 7.1% 2.0%
Connor Macken 12.0% 9.6% 11.2% 12.5% 9.7% 11.3% 10.3% 10.8% 9.8% 2.5%
Santiago Hirschmann 8.8% 9.9% 10.8% 10.6% 10.8% 11.9% 10.9% 11.7% 10.8% 3.9%
Luke Hosek 7.0% 8.4% 9.4% 7.5% 11.1% 10.2% 11.2% 12.2% 14.8% 8.2%
Anna Kovacs 1.2% 1.9% 1.8% 2.6% 3.4% 3.6% 4.4% 5.4% 10.7% 65.0%
Connor Rosow 11.2% 11.8% 11.9% 11.5% 10.4% 10.9% 11.3% 9.6% 8.6% 2.7%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.