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📊 Prediction Accuracy
16.7%
Within 2 Positions
4.3
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Dartmouth College2.97+8.32vs Predicted
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2Connecticut College3.23+6.25vs Predicted
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3Tufts University3.21+5.36vs Predicted
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4U. S. Naval Academy2.51+6.86vs Predicted
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5Boston College3.92+0.40vs Predicted
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6Brown University3.05+2.89vs Predicted
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7Northeastern University2.84+2.71vs Predicted
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8Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.49+3.12vs Predicted
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9U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.32+2.86vs Predicted
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10University of Rhode Island2.95-0.44vs Predicted
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11University of Vermont2.90-1.38vs Predicted
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12Boston University3.70-5.41vs Predicted
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13Harvard University3.16-4.79vs Predicted
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14Roger Williams University2.77-4.30vs Predicted
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15Georgetown University2.30-3.10vs Predicted
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16Bowdoin College2.74-5.81vs Predicted
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17Yale University3.72-10.67vs Predicted
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18Northwestern University1.27-2.87vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.32Dartmouth College2.970.0%1st Place
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8.25Connecticut College3.230.1%1st Place
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8.36Tufts University3.210.1%1st Place
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10.86U. S. Naval Academy2.510.0%1st Place
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5.4Boston College3.920.2%1st Place
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8.89Brown University3.050.1%1st Place
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9.71Northeastern University2.840.0%1st Place
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11.12Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.490.0%1st Place
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11.86U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.320.0%1st Place
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9.56University of Rhode Island2.950.1%1st Place
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9.62University of Vermont2.900.0%1st Place
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6.59Boston University3.700.1%1st Place
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8.21Harvard University3.160.1%1st Place
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9.7Roger Williams University2.770.0%1st Place
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11.9Georgetown University2.300.0%1st Place
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10.19Bowdoin College2.740.0%1st Place
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6.33Yale University3.720.1%1st Place
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15.13Northwestern University1.270.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Christopher Price | 4.6% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 4.5% | 2.4% |
| Bryce Kopp | 5.4% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 8.2% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 2.9% | 1.4% | 0.8% |
| David Liebenberg | 5.2% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 5.0% | 7.4% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 3.3% | 1.3% | 1.1% |
| Charles Peck | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 7.9% | 9.4% | 8.6% | 6.3% |
| William Bailey | 15.2% | 14.1% | 11.5% | 8.9% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 8.4% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Drew Shea | 5.4% | 4.8% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 1.7% |
| Conor Lodge | 4.6% | 5.9% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 2.5% |
| William Godfrey | 3.1% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 9.8% | 9.7% | 6.6% |
| Dylan Finneran | 2.8% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 4.7% | 3.3% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 10.3% | 13.9% | 7.4% |
| Matthew Coughlin | 5.7% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 8.1% | 6.1% | 4.2% | 2.1% |
| William Crary | 4.9% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 2.8% |
| Ryan Astwood | 10.1% | 10.4% | 8.4% | 9.6% | 8.7% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Gram Slattery | 6.8% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 2.3% | 1.4% |
| Henry Vogel | 4.6% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 3.5% |
| Massimo Mazzolini | 2.4% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 8.4% | 12.7% | 10.1% |
| Tom Peabody | 3.5% | 3.3% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 4.5% |
| Joseph Kiss | 10.8% | 11.0% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 9.8% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| Jacob Bruce | 1.4% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 6.4% | 8.3% | 12.0% | 46.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.