Race 11C

spring-oberg

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

62.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8
Elliott Mendenhall 7.0% 9.7% 10.0% 10.8% 11.1% 13.2% 15.5% 22.8%
Julius Heitkoetter 13.0% 12.8% 12.8% 14.3% 13.1% 13.0% 11.7% 9.2%
Mason Stang 25.9% 21.8% 17.5% 13.9% 10.5% 5.5% 3.6% 1.1%
Connor Rosow 11.2% 12.2% 14.1% 12.3% 12.0% 14.0% 13.6% 10.7%
Jonathan Riley 11.2% 12.2% 12.7% 13.6% 14.9% 13.8% 11.9% 9.8%
Shea Smith 13.7% 11.8% 13.3% 13.8% 12.9% 12.7% 12.8% 9.1%
Luke Hosek 8.5% 7.8% 8.8% 9.7% 12.2% 14.6% 15.7% 22.9%
Santiago Hirschmann 9.6% 11.7% 10.9% 11.7% 13.2% 13.2% 15.2% 14.4%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.