Race 12C

spring-oberg

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

50.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8
Julius Heitkoetter 12.5% 12.6% 13.0% 13.6% 14.0% 12.8% 12.2% 9.3%
Mason Stang 26.4% 22.4% 17.0% 12.8% 10.4% 5.9% 3.8% 1.3%
Luke Hosek 7.3% 8.9% 10.0% 10.1% 11.9% 14.4% 15.4% 21.9%
Jonathan Riley 11.2% 13.6% 13.2% 13.0% 13.5% 12.4% 12.6% 10.8%
Elliott Mendenhall 8.0% 8.4% 10.1% 9.3% 12.1% 12.9% 17.8% 21.3%
Santiago Hirschmann 9.7% 10.0% 10.8% 13.1% 12.5% 14.7% 14.6% 14.7%
Connor Rosow 11.9% 12.0% 12.7% 14.1% 11.9% 13.4% 13.2% 10.8%
Shea Smith 13.1% 12.2% 13.4% 14.2% 13.7% 13.5% 10.2% 9.8%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.