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📊 Prediction Accuracy
5.6%
Within 2 Positions
4.3
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Naval Academy2.51+10.23vs Predicted
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2Boston College3.92+3.58vs Predicted
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3University of Rhode Island2.95+6.52vs Predicted
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4Brown University3.05+4.76vs Predicted
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5Harvard University3.16+3.34vs Predicted
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6Roger Williams University2.77+4.00vs Predicted
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7Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.49+4.16vs Predicted
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8Bowdoin College2.74+2.05vs Predicted
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9Connecticut College3.23-0.95vs Predicted
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10Boston University3.70-3.57vs Predicted
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11Tufts University3.21-2.72vs Predicted
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12Yale University3.72-5.46vs Predicted
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13Northeastern University2.84-3.43vs Predicted
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14Dartmouth College2.97-5.09vs Predicted
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15University of Vermont2.90-5.61vs Predicted
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16U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.32-4.03vs Predicted
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17Georgetown University2.30-4.95vs Predicted
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18Northwestern University1.27-2.84vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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11.23U. S. Naval Academy2.510.0%1st Place
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5.58Boston College3.920.1%1st Place
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9.52University of Rhode Island2.950.0%1st Place
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8.76Brown University3.050.1%1st Place
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8.34Harvard University3.160.1%1st Place
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10.0Roger Williams University2.770.0%1st Place
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11.16Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.490.0%1st Place
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10.05Bowdoin College2.740.0%1st Place
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8.05Connecticut College3.230.1%1st Place
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6.43Boston University3.700.1%1st Place
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8.28Tufts University3.210.1%1st Place
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6.54Yale University3.720.1%1st Place
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9.57Northeastern University2.840.1%1st Place
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8.91Dartmouth College2.970.1%1st Place
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9.39University of Vermont2.900.0%1st Place
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11.97U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.320.0%1st Place
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12.05Georgetown University2.300.0%1st Place
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15.16Northwestern University1.270.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Charles Peck | 4.0% | 2.0% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 4.2% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 8.8% | 11.1% | 6.7% |
| William Bailey | 11.3% | 12.5% | 9.5% | 12.8% | 9.5% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Matthew Coughlin | 4.1% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 5.3% | 3.8% | 2.0% |
| Drew Shea | 5.5% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 3.3% | 1.7% |
| Gram Slattery | 7.1% | 7.6% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 2.9% | 1.4% |
| Henry Vogel | 4.8% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 5.2% | 3.7% |
| William Godfrey | 3.5% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 9.9% | 8.2% | 9.5% | 6.7% |
| Tom Peabody | 3.9% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 8.5% | 5.9% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 2.4% |
| Bryce Kopp | 5.4% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 0.5% |
| Ryan Astwood | 10.6% | 8.7% | 9.1% | 8.9% | 8.9% | 9.2% | 8.4% | 7.2% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| David Liebenberg | 6.5% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 1.5% |
| Joseph Kiss | 11.3% | 9.1% | 10.6% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Conor Lodge | 5.0% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 7.1% | 4.3% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 2.4% |
| Christopher Price | 5.2% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 4.6% | 6.9% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 2.4% |
| William Crary | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 2.0% |
| Dylan Finneran | 2.6% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 13.0% | 9.5% |
| Massimo Mazzolini | 2.8% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 11.6% | 11.7% | 10.8% |
| Jacob Bruce | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 4.6% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 12.5% | 46.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.