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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
4.3
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College3.92+4.69vs Predicted
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2Bowdoin College2.74+8.40vs Predicted
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3Tufts University3.21+5.39vs Predicted
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4Dartmouth College2.97+5.05vs Predicted
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5Connecticut College3.23+2.99vs Predicted
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6U. S. Naval Academy2.51+5.09vs Predicted
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7Georgetown University2.30+4.92vs Predicted
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8Brown University3.05+0.77vs Predicted
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9Roger Williams University2.77+1.02vs Predicted
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10Yale University3.72-3.63vs Predicted
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11Boston University3.70-4.64vs Predicted
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12Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.49-0.52vs Predicted
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13University of Rhode Island2.95-3.85vs Predicted
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14University of Vermont2.90-4.87vs Predicted
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15Northwestern University1.27+0.21vs Predicted
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16Northeastern University2.84-6.16vs Predicted
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17U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.32-5.02vs Predicted
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18Harvard University3.16-9.82vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.69Boston College3.920.1%1st Place
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10.4Bowdoin College2.740.0%1st Place
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8.39Tufts University3.210.1%1st Place
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9.05Dartmouth College2.970.1%1st Place
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7.99Connecticut College3.230.1%1st Place
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11.09U. S. Naval Academy2.510.0%1st Place
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11.92Georgetown University2.300.0%1st Place
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8.77Brown University3.050.1%1st Place
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10.02Roger Williams University2.770.0%1st Place
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6.37Yale University3.720.1%1st Place
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6.36Boston University3.700.1%1st Place
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11.48Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.490.0%1st Place
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9.15University of Rhode Island2.950.1%1st Place
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9.13University of Vermont2.900.1%1st Place
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15.21Northwestern University1.270.0%1st Place
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9.84Northeastern University2.840.0%1st Place
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11.98U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.320.0%1st Place
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8.18Harvard University3.160.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| William Bailey | 12.3% | 13.3% | 10.9% | 9.5% | 9.0% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Tom Peabody | 3.2% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 4.2% |
| David Liebenberg | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 3.1% | 1.5% | 1.1% |
| Christopher Price | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 2.1% |
| Bryce Kopp | 7.7% | 8.3% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 2.1% | 0.6% |
| Charles Peck | 4.1% | 2.3% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 10.0% | 6.8% |
| Massimo Mazzolini | 3.1% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 2.8% | 5.0% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 10.3% | 14.2% | 8.2% |
| Drew Shea | 5.7% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 4.5% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 2.5% | 1.9% |
| Henry Vogel | 3.6% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 3.7% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 5.8% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 2.9% |
| Joseph Kiss | 11.1% | 8.8% | 9.3% | 9.3% | 8.4% | 9.7% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Astwood | 10.4% | 11.4% | 9.2% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.4% |
| William Godfrey | 2.7% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 8.4% | 11.0% | 10.9% | 6.9% |
| Matthew Coughlin | 5.2% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 1.6% |
| William Crary | 5.1% | 4.7% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 2.4% |
| Jacob Bruce | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 13.5% | 45.5% |
| Conor Lodge | 4.1% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 7.6% | 5.5% | 3.5% |
| Dylan Finneran | 2.6% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 9.1% | 9.9% | 12.0% | 10.4% |
| Gram Slattery | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 1.8% | 1.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.