Race 13C

spring-oberg

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

37.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8
Julius Heitkoetter 12.7% 12.8% 13.3% 14.3% 12.5% 12.8% 12.8% 8.8%
Shea Smith 13.2% 14.1% 13.5% 14.0% 12.8% 12.9% 10.9% 8.6%
Luke Hosek 8.3% 8.2% 8.6% 9.7% 12.8% 13.8% 16.2% 22.4%
Santiago Hirschmann 10.5% 10.3% 12.2% 11.7% 12.4% 14.0% 14.4% 14.5%
Jonathan Riley 10.6% 11.6% 12.2% 13.2% 14.1% 12.2% 13.2% 12.8%
Mason Stang 26.6% 21.1% 17.3% 13.7% 8.9% 7.1% 3.6% 1.6%
Elliott Mendenhall 7.3% 7.8% 10.2% 10.5% 13.0% 14.6% 16.4% 20.1%
Connor Rosow 10.8% 14.2% 12.6% 13.0% 13.5% 12.6% 12.3% 11.1%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.