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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
4.8
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Bowdoin College2.74+9.41vs Predicted
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2Dartmouth College2.97+7.49vs Predicted
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3Brown University3.05+6.19vs Predicted
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4University of Rhode Island2.95+5.29vs Predicted
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5Connecticut College3.23+3.16vs Predicted
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6U. S. Naval Academy2.51+5.22vs Predicted
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7Roger Williams University2.77+3.11vs Predicted
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8Boston College3.92-2.51vs Predicted
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9Harvard University3.16-0.52vs Predicted
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10Tufts University3.21-1.45vs Predicted
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11Georgetown University2.30+1.12vs Predicted
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12Northeastern University2.84-1.79vs Predicted
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13Northwestern University1.27+2.20vs Predicted
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14University of Vermont2.90-4.67vs Predicted
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15U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.81-5.13vs Predicted
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16Boston University3.70-9.65vs Predicted
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17Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.49-5.55vs Predicted
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18Yale University3.72-11.91vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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10.41Bowdoin College2.740.0%1st Place
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9.49Dartmouth College2.970.0%1st Place
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9.19Brown University3.050.1%1st Place
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9.29University of Rhode Island2.950.0%1st Place
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8.16Connecticut College3.230.1%1st Place
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11.22U. S. Naval Academy2.510.0%1st Place
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10.11Roger Williams University2.770.0%1st Place
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5.49Boston College3.920.1%1st Place
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8.48Harvard University3.160.1%1st Place
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8.55Tufts University3.210.1%1st Place
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12.12Georgetown University2.300.0%1st Place
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10.21Northeastern University2.840.0%1st Place
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15.2Northwestern University1.270.0%1st Place
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9.33University of Vermont2.900.1%1st Place
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9.87U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.810.0%1st Place
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6.35Boston University3.700.1%1st Place
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11.45Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.490.0%1st Place
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6.09Yale University3.720.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tom Peabody | 3.8% | 3.1% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 3.8% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 4.5% |
| Christopher Price | 4.1% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 3.8% | 1.9% |
| Drew Shea | 5.3% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 3.8% | 0.9% |
| Matthew Coughlin | 4.4% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 2.3% |
| Bryce Kopp | 6.3% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 1.3% |
| Charles Peck | 3.0% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 9.0% | 9.9% | 6.9% |
| Henry Vogel | 4.4% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 8.7% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 2.9% |
| William Bailey | 14.1% | 13.9% | 10.4% | 9.0% | 9.2% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 4.5% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Gram Slattery | 5.3% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 4.9% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 1.8% | 1.3% |
| David Liebenberg | 7.0% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 1.6% |
| Massimo Mazzolini | 2.8% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 11.8% | 12.6% | 11.1% |
| Conor Lodge | 4.3% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 2.9% |
| Jacob Bruce | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 11.7% | 48.8% |
| William Crary | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 2.6% |
| Bradley Milliken | 4.5% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 2.8% |
| Ryan Astwood | 11.4% | 8.4% | 11.0% | 9.1% | 8.7% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| William Godfrey | 2.8% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 8.9% | 8.7% | 11.4% | 7.8% |
| Joseph Kiss | 10.4% | 11.1% | 9.6% | 10.3% | 9.8% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 5.1% | 3.3% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.