Race 14C

spring-oberg

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

62.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8
Elliott Mendenhall 7.0% 8.8% 9.2% 11.1% 12.0% 13.7% 15.6% 22.7%
Mason Stang 25.2% 21.1% 18.6% 14.0% 10.7% 6.3% 3.0% 1.1%
Jonathan Riley 10.6% 11.9% 13.1% 13.2% 14.3% 12.8% 12.6% 11.5%
Julius Heitkoetter 13.3% 12.3% 12.4% 13.0% 12.9% 13.8% 12.6% 9.8%
Connor Rosow 11.9% 12.0% 12.6% 12.8% 13.2% 12.9% 13.4% 11.2%
Shea Smith 12.3% 13.8% 13.5% 13.7% 13.2% 12.4% 12.5% 8.6%
Santiago Hirschmann 10.8% 10.1% 11.5% 11.7% 12.7% 14.6% 15.2% 13.5%
Luke Hosek 8.8% 10.1% 9.2% 10.6% 11.0% 13.4% 15.2% 21.8%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.