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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Roger Williams University2.77+9.32vs Predicted
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2Connecticut College3.23+6.37vs Predicted
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3Boston College3.92+2.72vs Predicted
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4Dartmouth College2.97+5.21vs Predicted
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5Yale University3.72+1.25vs Predicted
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6Bowdoin College2.74+4.27vs Predicted
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7Boston University3.70-0.66vs Predicted
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8U. S. Naval Academy2.51+3.14vs Predicted
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9Northeastern University2.84+0.78vs Predicted
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10U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.81+0.20vs Predicted
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11University of Rhode Island2.95-1.53vs Predicted
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12Brown University3.05-2.63vs Predicted
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13Harvard University3.16-4.67vs Predicted
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14Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.49-3.01vs Predicted
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15University of Vermont2.90-5.44vs Predicted
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16Northwestern University1.27-0.59vs Predicted
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17Tufts University3.21-8.56vs Predicted
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18Georgetown University2.30-6.17vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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10.32Roger Williams University2.770.0%1st Place
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8.37Connecticut College3.230.0%1st Place
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5.72Boston College3.920.1%1st Place
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9.21Dartmouth College2.970.1%1st Place
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6.25Yale University3.720.1%1st Place
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10.27Bowdoin College2.740.0%1st Place
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6.34Boston University3.700.1%1st Place
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11.14U. S. Naval Academy2.510.0%1st Place
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9.78Northeastern University2.840.0%1st Place
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10.2U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.810.1%1st Place
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9.47University of Rhode Island2.950.1%1st Place
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9.37Brown University3.050.0%1st Place
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8.33Harvard University3.160.1%1st Place
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10.99Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.490.0%1st Place
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9.56University of Vermont2.900.0%1st Place
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15.41Northwestern University1.270.0%1st Place
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8.44Tufts University3.210.1%1st Place
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11.83Georgetown University2.300.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Henry Vogel | 4.0% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 4.2% |
| Bryce Kopp | 4.8% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 2.2% | 0.7% |
| William Bailey | 11.3% | 12.3% | 9.8% | 12.1% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Christopher Price | 5.5% | 4.9% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 3.0% |
| Joseph Kiss | 11.1% | 13.0% | 9.9% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Tom Peabody | 4.4% | 2.4% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 7.4% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 5.1% |
| Ryan Astwood | 9.9% | 12.2% | 9.1% | 8.7% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 9.0% | 8.1% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| Charles Peck | 3.4% | 3.1% | 4.5% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 5.2% | 3.6% | 5.7% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 9.4% | 10.0% | 6.8% |
| Conor Lodge | 4.4% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 4.2% | 2.4% |
| Bradley Milliken | 5.1% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 8.4% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 3.5% |
| Matthew Coughlin | 5.7% | 4.4% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 2.6% |
| Drew Shea | 4.8% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 1.9% |
| Gram Slattery | 6.6% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 1.5% |
| William Godfrey | 3.2% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 10.3% | 6.9% |
| William Crary | 4.8% | 3.5% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 2.7% |
| Jacob Bruce | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 9.2% | 12.6% | 48.8% |
| David Liebenberg | 7.1% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 1.0% |
| Massimo Mazzolini | 3.2% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 9.2% | 9.1% | 12.4% | 8.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.