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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.45+3.47vs Predicted
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2Brown University2.22+1.01vs Predicted
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3Roger Williams University1.01+2.29vs Predicted
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4Northeastern University1.17+0.74vs Predicted
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5Boston University0.97+0.26vs Predicted
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6Tufts University1.51-1.53vs Predicted
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7Northwestern University1.49-2.81vs Predicted
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8University of Rhode Island1.38-3.43vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.47Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.4510.9%1st Place
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3.01Brown University2.2226.5%1st Place
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5.29Roger Williams University1.018.8%1st Place
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4.74Northeastern University1.179.9%1st Place
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5.26Boston University0.977.3%1st Place
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4.47Tufts University1.5111.5%1st Place
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4.19Northwestern University1.4914.1%1st Place
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4.57University of Rhode Island1.3811.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Julius Heitkoetter | 10.9% | 12.9% | 12.2% | 14.5% | 13.8% | 13.3% | 11.4% | 10.9% |
Mason Stang | 26.5% | 20.8% | 18.2% | 13.2% | 9.4% | 6.2% | 4.3% | 1.4% |
Luke Hosek | 8.8% | 7.3% | 9.9% | 9.8% | 11.6% | 12.5% | 17.3% | 22.8% |
Santiago Hirschmann | 9.9% | 10.9% | 12.3% | 11.8% | 14.3% | 12.4% | 15.0% | 13.4% |
Elliott Mendenhall | 7.3% | 7.8% | 9.6% | 10.4% | 13.6% | 14.1% | 16.7% | 20.4% |
Connor Rosow | 11.5% | 12.8% | 13.1% | 12.8% | 12.8% | 14.1% | 12.6% | 10.3% |
Shea Smith | 14.1% | 15.2% | 12.7% | 14.2% | 11.8% | 12.3% | 11.1% | 8.6% |
Jonathan Riley | 11.0% | 12.2% | 12.0% | 13.2% | 12.8% | 15.1% | 11.7% | 12.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.