Race 16C

spring-oberg

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8
Julius Heitkoetter 11.9% 12.9% 13.6% 12.8% 13.5% 12.2% 12.7% 10.4%
Mason Stang 28.4% 20.7% 17.7% 13.0% 8.8% 6.6% 3.5% 1.2%
Santiago Hirschmann 8.9% 9.9% 11.9% 13.7% 11.9% 14.4% 15.3% 13.9%
Shea Smith 13.9% 13.2% 13.0% 14.6% 14.8% 12.7% 10.8% 7.0%
Jonathan Riley 11.6% 12.3% 12.2% 12.5% 14.8% 13.0% 12.8% 10.8%
Connor Rosow 11.1% 11.8% 12.6% 12.9% 13.2% 14.3% 12.4% 11.7%
Elliott Mendenhall 6.6% 8.9% 9.7% 10.2% 11.8% 13.8% 16.8% 22.2%
Luke Hosek 7.8% 10.2% 9.3% 10.3% 11.0% 13.2% 15.6% 22.7%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.