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📊 Prediction Accuracy
16.7%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College3.92+4.74vs Predicted
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2Boston University3.70+4.49vs Predicted
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3University of Rhode Island2.95+6.64vs Predicted
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4Yale University3.72+2.25vs Predicted
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5Tufts University3.21+3.25vs Predicted
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6U. S. Naval Academy2.51+5.21vs Predicted
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7U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.81+2.92vs Predicted
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8Brown University3.05+0.86vs Predicted
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9University of Vermont2.90+0.59vs Predicted
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10Georgetown University2.30+2.25vs Predicted
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11Connecticut College3.23-2.67vs Predicted
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12Dartmouth College2.97-2.36vs Predicted
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13Bowdoin College2.74-2.90vs Predicted
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14Harvard University3.16-5.83vs Predicted
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15Roger Williams University2.77-4.92vs Predicted
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16Northeastern University2.84-6.11vs Predicted
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17Northwestern University1.27-1.54vs Predicted
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18Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.49-6.87vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.74Boston College3.920.1%1st Place
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6.49Boston University3.700.1%1st Place
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9.64University of Rhode Island2.950.0%1st Place
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6.25Yale University3.720.1%1st Place
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8.25Tufts University3.210.1%1st Place
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11.21U. S. Naval Academy2.510.0%1st Place
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9.92U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.810.0%1st Place
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8.86Brown University3.050.1%1st Place
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9.59University of Vermont2.900.0%1st Place
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12.25Georgetown University2.300.0%1st Place
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8.33Connecticut College3.230.1%1st Place
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9.64Dartmouth College2.970.0%1st Place
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10.1Bowdoin College2.740.0%1st Place
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8.17Harvard University3.160.1%1st Place
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10.08Roger Williams University2.770.0%1st Place
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9.89Northeastern University2.840.0%1st Place
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15.46Northwestern University1.270.0%1st Place
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11.13Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.490.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| William Bailey | 12.5% | 12.0% | 9.8% | 10.7% | 10.6% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Astwood | 8.8% | 9.1% | 9.3% | 8.5% | 10.1% | 9.0% | 7.4% | 8.8% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Coughlin | 4.3% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 4.9% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 4.6% | 1.9% |
| Joseph Kiss | 11.8% | 9.5% | 11.7% | 9.0% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.3% |
| David Liebenberg | 6.6% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 7.8% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 2.7% | 1.2% |
| Charles Peck | 3.3% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 7.7% | 9.1% | 8.3% | 8.7% | 7.4% |
| Bradley Milliken | 4.3% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 8.4% | 7.3% | 4.6% | 3.6% |
| Drew Shea | 5.6% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 3.1% | 1.4% |
| William Crary | 3.9% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 4.3% | 1.9% |
| Massimo Mazzolini | 3.0% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 4.3% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 8.7% | 9.1% | 15.1% | 11.4% |
| Bryce Kopp | 7.4% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 1.4% |
| Christopher Price | 4.8% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 4.5% | 3.0% |
| Tom Peabody | 4.7% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 5.4% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 3.2% |
| Gram Slattery | 6.3% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 0.6% |
| Henry Vogel | 4.4% | 3.7% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 3.1% |
| Conor Lodge | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 3.4% |
| Jacob Bruce | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 1.1% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 13.3% | 50.3% |
| William Godfrey | 3.6% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 8.7% | 7.5% | 10.5% | 5.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.