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📊 Prediction Accuracy
25.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tulane University2.46+5.37vs Predicted
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2Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.46+6.34vs Predicted
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3Georgetown University2.75+2.80vs Predicted
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4College of Charleston1.97+4.23vs Predicted
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5University of Vermont1.58+4.97vs Predicted
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6Old Dominion University1.81+2.65vs Predicted
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7Stanford University2.93-1.08vs Predicted
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8U. S. Naval Academy3.01-2.44vs Predicted
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9U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.41+1.36vs Predicted
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10George Washington University2.19-1.91vs Predicted
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11SUNY Maritime College2.51-4.14vs Predicted
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12North Carolina State University1.99-2.27vs Predicted
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13University of Michigan1.06-1.11vs Predicted
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14Northeastern University1.17-3.04vs Predicted
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15University of Pennsylvania2.42-8.73vs Predicted
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16St. Mary's College of Maryland0.59-3.02vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.37Tulane University2.468.5%1st Place
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8.34Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.465.5%1st Place
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5.8Georgetown University2.7512.3%1st Place
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8.23College of Charleston1.975.2%1st Place
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9.97University of Vermont1.584.0%1st Place
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8.65Old Dominion University1.815.0%1st Place
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5.92Stanford University2.9310.9%1st Place
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5.56U. S. Naval Academy3.0112.8%1st Place
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10.36U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.413.2%1st Place
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8.09George Washington University2.195.5%1st Place
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6.86SUNY Maritime College2.517.6%1st Place
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9.73North Carolina State University1.993.8%1st Place
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11.89University of Michigan1.061.9%1st Place
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10.96Northeastern University1.172.5%1st Place
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6.27University of Pennsylvania2.429.8%1st Place
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12.98St. Mary's College of Maryland0.591.3%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cameron Giblin | 8.5% | 9.0% | 9.4% | 9.2% | 9.0% | 9.1% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.5% |
| Jake Vickers | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 2.1% |
| Mariner Fagan | 12.3% | 10.9% | 9.7% | 9.8% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Max Anker | 5.2% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 3.5% | 2.4% |
| Connell Phillipps | 4.0% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 9.2% | 9.4% | 9.7% | 10.2% | 5.9% |
| Noyl Odom | 5.0% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 3.1% |
| Jack Parkin | 10.9% | 11.7% | 8.9% | 8.9% | 9.0% | 9.7% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| JC Hermus | 12.8% | 11.4% | 10.3% | 11.1% | 9.8% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| William Weinbecker | 3.2% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 8.0% | 9.1% | 9.9% | 10.8% | 11.9% | 7.8% |
| Michael Ehnot | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 3.9% | 1.5% |
| Benton Amthor | 7.6% | 7.3% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 8.4% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 3.4% | 1.5% | 0.2% |
| Scott Harris | 3.8% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 8.9% | 9.5% | 8.9% | 10.3% | 5.5% |
| Sherman Thompson | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 9.0% | 10.3% | 16.2% | 21.0% |
| Ted Bjerregaard | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 9.6% | 12.7% | 12.8% | 12.5% |
| Jordan Bruce | 9.8% | 9.3% | 11.1% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 9.2% | 7.6% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 0.2% |
| Hunter Cutting | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 10.3% | 15.0% | 37.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.