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📊 Prediction Accuracy
37.5%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University2.93+4.83vs Predicted
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2Tulane University2.46+4.38vs Predicted
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3U. S. Naval Academy3.01+2.78vs Predicted
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4George Washington University2.19+4.10vs Predicted
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5University of Pennsylvania2.42+1.31vs Predicted
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6North Carolina State University1.99+3.92vs Predicted
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7Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.46+1.57vs Predicted
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8U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.41+2.27vs Predicted
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9College of Charleston1.97-0.84vs Predicted
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10Northeastern University1.17+1.07vs Predicted
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11University of Vermont1.58-1.31vs Predicted
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12Georgetown University2.75-6.34vs Predicted
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13St. Mary's College of Maryland0.59+0.04vs Predicted
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14SUNY Maritime College2.51-7.22vs Predicted
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15Old Dominion University1.81-6.35vs Predicted
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16University of Michigan1.06-4.19vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.83Stanford University2.9310.3%1st Place
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6.38Tulane University2.4610.4%1st Place
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5.78U. S. Naval Academy3.019.8%1st Place
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8.1George Washington University2.195.9%1st Place
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6.31University of Pennsylvania2.429.5%1st Place
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9.92North Carolina State University1.994.0%1st Place
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8.57Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.465.3%1st Place
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10.27U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.413.4%1st Place
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8.16College of Charleston1.975.8%1st Place
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11.07Northeastern University1.172.2%1st Place
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9.69University of Vermont1.583.9%1st Place
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5.66Georgetown University2.7511.2%1st Place
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13.04St. Mary's College of Maryland0.591.1%1st Place
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6.78SUNY Maritime College2.519.4%1st Place
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8.65Old Dominion University1.815.7%1st Place
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11.81University of Michigan1.061.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jack Parkin | 10.3% | 11.1% | 10.7% | 9.1% | 10.4% | 8.9% | 8.5% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 3.3% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| Cameron Giblin | 10.4% | 9.3% | 9.6% | 7.2% | 8.4% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 0.3% |
| JC Hermus | 9.8% | 11.4% | 10.5% | 11.1% | 10.1% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| Michael Ehnot | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 3.5% | 1.8% |
| Jordan Bruce | 9.5% | 9.4% | 8.8% | 9.6% | 9.2% | 8.7% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Scott Harris | 4.0% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 8.1% | 9.7% | 9.7% | 10.9% | 9.3% | 5.3% |
| Jake Vickers | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 2.8% |
| William Weinbecker | 3.4% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 8.9% | 9.5% | 11.1% | 11.3% | 8.0% |
| Max Anker | 5.8% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 2.1% |
| Ted Bjerregaard | 2.2% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 9.8% | 12.0% | 14.2% | 12.9% |
| Connell Phillipps | 3.9% | 4.5% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 9.8% | 8.8% | 5.1% |
| Mariner Fagan | 11.2% | 10.8% | 11.7% | 9.4% | 9.3% | 9.4% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Hunter Cutting | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 8.2% | 15.8% | 38.8% |
| Benton Amthor | 9.4% | 8.9% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 1.5% | 0.5% |
| Noyl Odom | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 6.8% | 8.8% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 2.5% |
| Sherman Thompson | 1.9% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 8.7% | 12.3% | 16.4% | 19.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.