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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College3.92+4.76vs Predicted
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2Yale University3.72+4.41vs Predicted
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3University of Rhode Island2.95+6.66vs Predicted
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4Northeastern University2.84+5.73vs Predicted
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5Boston University3.70+1.37vs Predicted
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6Connecticut College3.23+2.19vs Predicted
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7Roger Williams University2.77+3.12vs Predicted
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8Tufts University3.21+0.16vs Predicted
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9Bowdoin College2.74+1.23vs Predicted
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10Harvard University3.16-1.25vs Predicted
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11U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.81-0.92vs Predicted
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12Dartmouth College2.97-2.37vs Predicted
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13U. S. Naval Academy2.51-1.96vs Predicted
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14Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.49-3.05vs Predicted
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15University of Vermont2.90-5.45vs Predicted
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16Brown University3.05-7.02vs Predicted
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17Georgetown University2.30-4.86vs Predicted
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18Northwestern University1.27-2.77vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.76Boston College3.920.1%1st Place
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6.41Yale University3.720.1%1st Place
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9.66University of Rhode Island2.950.0%1st Place
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9.73Northeastern University2.840.0%1st Place
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6.37Boston University3.700.1%1st Place
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8.19Connecticut College3.230.1%1st Place
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10.12Roger Williams University2.770.0%1st Place
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8.16Tufts University3.210.1%1st Place
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10.23Bowdoin College2.740.0%1st Place
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8.75Harvard University3.160.1%1st Place
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10.08U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.810.0%1st Place
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9.63Dartmouth College2.970.0%1st Place
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11.04U. S. Naval Academy2.510.0%1st Place
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10.95Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.490.0%1st Place
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9.55University of Vermont2.900.0%1st Place
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8.98Brown University3.050.0%1st Place
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12.14Georgetown University2.300.0%1st Place
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15.23Northwestern University1.270.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| William Bailey | 11.8% | 12.8% | 11.9% | 8.1% | 10.3% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Joseph Kiss | 9.3% | 9.9% | 8.4% | 10.8% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.3% |
| Matthew Coughlin | 4.1% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 8.2% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 2.4% |
| Conor Lodge | 4.4% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 5.3% | 7.7% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 4.8% | 3.6% |
| Ryan Astwood | 11.2% | 10.8% | 9.3% | 9.3% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.5% |
| Bryce Kopp | 6.9% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 2.0% | 1.5% |
| Henry Vogel | 4.3% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 3.1% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 8.4% | 4.6% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 3.9% |
| David Liebenberg | 7.0% | 6.1% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 8.0% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 0.7% |
| Tom Peabody | 3.7% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 2.9% |
| Gram Slattery | 7.6% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 3.1% | 1.5% |
| Bradley Milliken | 4.5% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 3.8% |
| Christopher Price | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 2.6% |
| Charles Peck | 3.4% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 3.7% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 11.5% | 6.1% |
| William Godfrey | 3.3% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 8.5% | 9.9% | 8.0% | 7.2% |
| William Crary | 4.9% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 2.4% |
| Drew Shea | 4.6% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 2.3% |
| Massimo Mazzolini | 2.7% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 8.8% | 9.5% | 13.4% | 11.5% |
| Jacob Bruce | 1.5% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 8.5% | 14.3% | 46.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.