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📊 Prediction Accuracy
18.8%
Within 2 Positions
4.1
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Naval Academy3.01+4.74vs Predicted
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2North Carolina State University1.99+7.61vs Predicted
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3University of Vermont1.58+6.75vs Predicted
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4College of Charleston1.97+4.39vs Predicted
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5Georgetown University2.75+0.67vs Predicted
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6George Washington University2.19+1.93vs Predicted
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7Northeastern University1.17+3.96vs Predicted
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8U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.41+2.42vs Predicted
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9Stanford University2.93-3.04vs Predicted
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10Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.46-1.63vs Predicted
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11SUNY Maritime College2.51-4.07vs Predicted
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12Old Dominion University1.81-3.29vs Predicted
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13Tulane University2.46-6.71vs Predicted
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14University of Pennsylvania2.42-7.70vs Predicted
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15University of Michigan1.06-3.17vs Predicted
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16St. Mary's College of Maryland0.59-2.86vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.74U. S. Naval Academy3.0112.2%1st Place
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9.61North Carolina State University1.993.9%1st Place
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9.75University of Vermont1.583.5%1st Place
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8.39College of Charleston1.974.5%1st Place
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5.67Georgetown University2.7512.2%1st Place
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7.93George Washington University2.196.4%1st Place
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10.96Northeastern University1.172.5%1st Place
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10.42U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.412.8%1st Place
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5.96Stanford University2.9311.3%1st Place
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8.37Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.465.2%1st Place
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6.93SUNY Maritime College2.518.1%1st Place
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8.71Old Dominion University1.815.5%1st Place
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6.29Tulane University2.469.2%1st Place
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6.3University of Pennsylvania2.429.8%1st Place
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11.83University of Michigan1.061.8%1st Place
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13.14St. Mary's College of Maryland0.591.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| JC Hermus | 12.2% | 9.9% | 11.3% | 9.8% | 10.0% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 2.3% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Scott Harris | 3.9% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 9.4% | 9.7% | 9.6% | 4.3% |
| Connell Phillipps | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 9.6% | 9.2% | 9.7% | 5.9% |
| Max Anker | 4.5% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 4.2% | 1.8% |
| Mariner Fagan | 12.2% | 11.2% | 11.5% | 9.1% | 9.1% | 8.9% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Michael Ehnot | 6.4% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 8.8% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 1.4% |
| Ted Bjerregaard | 2.5% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 12.2% | 13.5% | 12.8% |
| William Weinbecker | 2.8% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 8.5% | 10.2% | 10.3% | 12.1% | 7.9% |
| Jack Parkin | 11.3% | 11.1% | 9.9% | 8.0% | 9.8% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Jake Vickers | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 4.2% | 2.2% |
| Benton Amthor | 8.1% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 8.8% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 1.8% | 0.4% |
| Noyl Odom | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 5.8% | 3.1% |
| Cameron Giblin | 9.2% | 10.9% | 8.7% | 9.6% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 9.2% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 4.6% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 0.4% |
| Jordan Bruce | 9.8% | 9.3% | 8.8% | 9.7% | 8.9% | 9.2% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 6.3% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.5% |
| Sherman Thompson | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 10.0% | 11.8% | 15.4% | 20.1% |
| Hunter Cutting | 1.1% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 6.8% | 9.6% | 16.2% | 38.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.