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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.9%
Within 2 Positions
4.1
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston University3.70+5.56vs Predicted
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2Roger Williams University2.77+8.41vs Predicted
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3University of Vermont2.90+6.73vs Predicted
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4Georgetown University2.30+7.86vs Predicted
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5Northeastern University2.84+4.73vs Predicted
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6University of Rhode Island2.95+3.37vs Predicted
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7Boston College3.92-1.44vs Predicted
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8Yale University3.72-1.80vs Predicted
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9Harvard University3.16-0.53vs Predicted
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10Brown University3.05-0.82vs Predicted
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11U. S. Naval Academy2.51+0.30vs Predicted
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12Bowdoin College2.74-1.32vs Predicted
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13Tufts University3.21-4.82vs Predicted
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14Connecticut College3.23-6.13vs Predicted
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15Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.49-3.76vs Predicted
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16Northwestern University1.27-0.58vs Predicted
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17U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.81-6.86vs Predicted
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18Dartmouth College2.97-8.90vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.56Boston University3.700.1%1st Place
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10.41Roger Williams University2.770.0%1st Place
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9.73University of Vermont2.900.0%1st Place
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11.86Georgetown University2.300.0%1st Place
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9.73Northeastern University2.840.0%1st Place
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9.37University of Rhode Island2.950.1%1st Place
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5.56Boston College3.920.1%1st Place
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6.2Yale University3.720.1%1st Place
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8.47Harvard University3.160.1%1st Place
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9.18Brown University3.050.1%1st Place
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11.3U. S. Naval Academy2.510.0%1st Place
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10.68Bowdoin College2.740.0%1st Place
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8.18Tufts University3.210.1%1st Place
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7.87Connecticut College3.230.1%1st Place
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11.24Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.490.0%1st Place
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15.42Northwestern University1.270.0%1st Place
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10.14U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.810.0%1st Place
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9.1Dartmouth College2.970.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ryan Astwood | 9.2% | 11.2% | 9.6% | 8.5% | 8.4% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| Henry Vogel | 2.9% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 4.0% |
| William Crary | 4.3% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 1.6% |
| Massimo Mazzolini | 2.4% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 8.7% | 9.5% | 14.6% | 9.2% |
| Conor Lodge | 4.2% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 4.1% | 6.3% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 8.1% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 3.2% |
| Matthew Coughlin | 5.3% | 4.2% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 2.1% |
| William Bailey | 13.3% | 13.0% | 11.0% | 9.2% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 2.7% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Joseph Kiss | 10.8% | 11.2% | 11.1% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 3.7% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Gram Slattery | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 2.0% | 1.5% |
| Drew Shea | 6.3% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 7.1% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 2.3% |
| Charles Peck | 3.7% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 3.8% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 11.2% | 10.4% | 6.1% |
| Tom Peabody | 3.7% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 6.7% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 5.1% |
| David Liebenberg | 7.1% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 8.1% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 2.7% | 0.8% |
| Bryce Kopp | 7.1% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 0.6% |
| William Godfrey | 3.1% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 2.3% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 8.9% | 9.1% | 7.3% |
| Jacob Bruce | 0.8% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 7.4% | 12.3% | 50.2% |
| Bradley Milliken | 4.5% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 3.7% |
| Christopher Price | 5.8% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 3.3% | 1.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.