← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

38.5%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Chandler Salisbury 7.5% 7.7% 7.5% 9.6% 8.9% 6.7% 7.7% 8.8% 7.7% 8.2% 8.9% 5.6% 5.2%
Jennifer Proctor 7.7% 9.3% 6.9% 7.4% 10.8% 7.3% 8.3% 9.2% 8.3% 7.1% 7.5% 7.4% 2.8%
Claire Dennis 9.7% 9.5% 10.0% 10.3% 8.4% 8.7% 8.7% 9.8% 6.4% 7.0% 4.6% 5.4% 1.5%
Margaret Tautz 11.6% 11.0% 11.1% 10.1% 10.3% 9.1% 8.3% 7.1% 7.7% 5.5% 4.6% 2.3% 1.3%
Liv Gunnarsson 5.9% 5.9% 4.8% 7.0% 6.5% 7.4% 7.7% 6.1% 7.9% 8.6% 11.0% 11.9% 9.3%
Elizabeth Whipple 9.5% 7.6% 8.7% 9.2% 7.9% 9.2% 9.0% 8.0% 7.4% 8.0% 7.1% 4.5% 3.9%
Alexandra Arntsen 6.5% 5.9% 5.6% 5.7% 6.1% 6.8% 6.6% 8.0% 8.1% 9.0% 10.4% 10.5% 10.8%
Katherine Doble 3.6% 5.1% 4.3% 4.4% 4.7% 5.8% 4.8% 6.6% 9.9% 8.2% 9.5% 16.0% 17.1%
Emily Dellenbaugh 9.7% 8.5% 10.2% 9.5% 8.7% 7.9% 9.1% 7.3% 7.6% 6.7% 6.8% 4.6% 3.4%
Jamie Curran 3.4% 2.5% 3.3% 2.4% 3.0% 4.9% 5.6% 4.5% 6.3% 7.3% 8.7% 15.7% 32.4%
Emily Maxwell 10.4% 11.6% 10.6% 9.3% 9.5% 9.3% 8.1% 7.7% 6.8% 7.2% 4.8% 2.4% 2.3%
Brendan Cook 6.2% 7.0% 7.4% 7.9% 6.2% 7.6% 7.7% 9.2% 8.0% 8.6% 9.0% 8.4% 6.8%
Elizabeth Powers 8.3% 8.4% 9.6% 7.2% 9.0% 9.3% 8.4% 7.7% 7.9% 8.6% 7.1% 5.3% 3.2%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.