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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.5%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Dartmouth College3.23+5.77vs Predicted
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2U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.32+4.59vs Predicted
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3Yale University3.50+2.96vs Predicted
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4Tufts University3.65+1.48vs Predicted
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5University of Rhode Island2.86+2.81vs Predicted
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6Connecticut College3.33+0.39vs Predicted
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7University of Vermont2.86+0.83vs Predicted
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8Bowdoin College2.56+0.79vs Predicted
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9Brown University3.45-2.82vs Predicted
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10Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.17-0.18vs Predicted
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11Boston College3.50-5.31vs Predicted
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12Boston University3.13-4.76vs Predicted
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13Harvard University3.38-6.56vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.77Dartmouth College3.230.1%1st Place
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6.59U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.320.1%1st Place
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5.96Yale University3.500.1%1st Place
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5.48Tufts University3.650.1%1st Place
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7.81University of Rhode Island2.860.1%1st Place
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6.39Connecticut College3.330.1%1st Place
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7.83University of Vermont2.860.1%1st Place
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8.79Bowdoin College2.560.0%1st Place
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6.18Brown University3.450.1%1st Place
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9.82Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.170.0%1st Place
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5.69Boston College3.500.1%1st Place
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7.24Boston University3.130.1%1st Place
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6.44Harvard University3.380.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chandler Salisbury | 7.5% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 9.6% | 8.9% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 8.8% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 5.6% | 5.2% |
| Jennifer Proctor | 7.7% | 9.3% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 10.8% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 9.2% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 2.8% |
| Claire Dennis | 9.7% | 9.5% | 10.0% | 10.3% | 8.4% | 8.7% | 8.7% | 9.8% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 1.5% |
| Margaret Tautz | 11.6% | 11.0% | 11.1% | 10.1% | 10.3% | 9.1% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 2.3% | 1.3% |
| Liv Gunnarsson | 5.9% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 11.0% | 11.9% | 9.3% |
| Elizabeth Whipple | 9.5% | 7.6% | 8.7% | 9.2% | 7.9% | 9.2% | 9.0% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 4.5% | 3.9% |
| Alexandra Arntsen | 6.5% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 9.0% | 10.4% | 10.5% | 10.8% |
| Katherine Doble | 3.6% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 6.6% | 9.9% | 8.2% | 9.5% | 16.0% | 17.1% |
| Emily Dellenbaugh | 9.7% | 8.5% | 10.2% | 9.5% | 8.7% | 7.9% | 9.1% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 4.6% | 3.4% |
| Jamie Curran | 3.4% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 8.7% | 15.7% | 32.4% |
| Emily Maxwell | 10.4% | 11.6% | 10.6% | 9.3% | 9.5% | 9.3% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 4.8% | 2.4% | 2.3% |
| Brendan Cook | 6.2% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 9.2% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 8.4% | 6.8% |
| Elizabeth Powers | 8.3% | 8.4% | 9.6% | 7.2% | 9.0% | 9.3% | 8.4% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 7.1% | 5.3% | 3.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.