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📊 Prediction Accuracy
54.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Fairfield University0.59+2.41vs Predicted
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2Northeastern University-0.19+3.03vs Predicted
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3Bentley University-1.10+4.01vs Predicted
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4University of Rhode Island0.70+0.09vs Predicted
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5McGill University0.01-0.64vs Predicted
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6Salve Regina University0.46-2.82vs Predicted
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7Brandeis University-1.89+1.44vs Predicted
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8Boston University-1.31-0.49vs Predicted
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9Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.43-1.42vs Predicted
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10University of Vermont-0.72-3.98vs Predicted
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11University of Massachusetts at Amherst-2.46-1.64vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.41Fairfield University0.5920.6%1st Place
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5.03Northeastern University-0.199.1%1st Place
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7.01Bentley University-1.104.0%1st Place
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4.09University of Rhode Island0.7015.6%1st Place
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4.36McGill University0.0111.8%1st Place
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3.18Salve Regina University0.4624.8%1st Place
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8.44Brandeis University-1.892.0%1st Place
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7.51Boston University-1.313.2%1st Place
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7.58Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.433.0%1st Place
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6.02University of Vermont-0.724.9%1st Place
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9.36University of Massachusetts at Amherst-2.461.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bryce Vitiello | 20.6% | 19.4% | 17.2% | 14.6% | 11.5% | 7.4% | 5.3% | 2.6% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Grant Smith | 9.1% | 10.7% | 11.2% | 13.6% | 12.1% | 12.2% | 11.6% | 9.8% | 6.2% | 2.9% | 0.7% |
| Wilfred Hynes | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 9.4% | 12.7% | 15.5% | 15.8% | 13.9% | 5.6% |
| John Mason | 15.6% | 13.0% | 15.2% | 14.8% | 14.1% | 10.9% | 7.9% | 5.2% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Andrew Richards | 11.8% | 14.1% | 14.4% | 12.8% | 14.4% | 12.9% | 9.8% | 5.5% | 3.0% | 0.9% | 0.4% |
| Emil Tullberg | 24.8% | 19.5% | 17.4% | 13.9% | 10.2% | 7.6% | 4.1% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Miles Laker | 2.0% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 8.1% | 9.8% | 15.3% | 22.7% | 23.5% |
| Danielle Bogacheva | 3.2% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 9.0% | 10.0% | 14.9% | 17.0% | 16.4% | 10.6% |
| Joseph Gedraitis | 3.0% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 8.8% | 11.7% | 14.3% | 17.1% | 17.3% | 10.2% |
| Mungo McKemey | 4.9% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 9.2% | 10.9% | 12.0% | 14.6% | 12.5% | 10.4% | 7.8% | 1.8% |
| Brooklyn Geary | 1.0% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 7.9% | 11.6% | 17.1% | 47.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.