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📊 Prediction Accuracy
37.5%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tulane University2.46+5.23vs Predicted
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2Stanford University2.93+3.98vs Predicted
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3Georgetown University2.75+2.64vs Predicted
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4Old Dominion University1.81+4.56vs Predicted
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5Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.46+3.60vs Predicted
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6University of Pennsylvania2.42+0.39vs Predicted
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7U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.41+3.33vs Predicted
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8George Washington University2.19-0.12vs Predicted
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9University of Vermont1.58+0.97vs Predicted
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10North Carolina State University1.99-0.32vs Predicted
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11Northeastern University1.17-0.06vs Predicted
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12University of Michigan1.06-0.15vs Predicted
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13U. S. Naval Academy3.01-7.42vs Predicted
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14SUNY Maritime College2.51-7.04vs Predicted
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15College of Charleston1.97-6.82vs Predicted
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16St. Mary's College of Maryland0.59-2.78vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.23Tulane University2.469.6%1st Place
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5.98Stanford University2.939.4%1st Place
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5.64Georgetown University2.7512.2%1st Place
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8.56Old Dominion University1.815.8%1st Place
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8.6Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.465.8%1st Place
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6.39University of Pennsylvania2.429.4%1st Place
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10.33U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.413.4%1st Place
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7.88George Washington University2.194.9%1st Place
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9.97University of Vermont1.583.6%1st Place
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9.68North Carolina State University1.993.6%1st Place
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10.94Northeastern University1.173.1%1st Place
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11.85University of Michigan1.061.6%1st Place
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5.58U. S. Naval Academy3.0112.6%1st Place
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6.96SUNY Maritime College2.518.2%1st Place
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8.18College of Charleston1.975.7%1st Place
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13.22St. Mary's College of Maryland0.591.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cameron Giblin | 9.6% | 9.4% | 9.5% | 9.6% | 9.6% | 9.8% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 0.1% |
| Jack Parkin | 9.4% | 10.4% | 11.1% | 10.1% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Mariner Fagan | 12.2% | 11.5% | 10.0% | 10.4% | 10.4% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 3.1% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Noyl Odom | 5.8% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 2.5% |
| Jake Vickers | 5.8% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 5.1% | 1.9% |
| Jordan Bruce | 9.4% | 10.2% | 9.2% | 9.8% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| William Weinbecker | 3.4% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 13.2% | 10.3% | 7.8% |
| Michael Ehnot | 4.9% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 1.2% |
| Connell Phillipps | 3.6% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 8.8% | 10.4% | 9.7% | 10.4% | 5.3% |
| Scott Harris | 3.6% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 8.5% | 9.5% | 5.7% |
| Ted Bjerregaard | 3.1% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 9.5% | 11.6% | 14.4% | 11.2% |
| Sherman Thompson | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 11.8% | 16.0% | 20.1% |
| JC Hermus | 12.6% | 10.4% | 11.6% | 11.0% | 9.8% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| Benton Amthor | 8.2% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 3.4% | 1.4% | 0.6% |
| Max Anker | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 4.0% | 1.7% |
| Hunter Cutting | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 9.4% | 15.4% | 41.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.