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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
4.1
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston University3.70+5.57vs Predicted
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2Bowdoin College2.74+8.56vs Predicted
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3Connecticut College3.23+5.41vs Predicted
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4U. S. Naval Academy2.51+7.07vs Predicted
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5Yale University3.72+1.26vs Predicted
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6University of Rhode Island2.95+3.33vs Predicted
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7Harvard University3.16+1.49vs Predicted
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8Boston College3.92-2.51vs Predicted
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9University of Vermont2.90+0.52vs Predicted
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10Brown University3.05-0.75vs Predicted
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11Roger Williams University2.77-0.71vs Predicted
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12Northwestern University1.27+3.59vs Predicted
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13U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.81-3.20vs Predicted
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14Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.49-3.01vs Predicted
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15Dartmouth College2.97-5.70vs Predicted
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16Tufts University3.21-7.71vs Predicted
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17Georgetown University2.30-4.86vs Predicted
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18Northeastern University2.84-8.35vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.57Boston University3.700.1%1st Place
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10.56Bowdoin College2.740.0%1st Place
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8.41Connecticut College3.230.1%1st Place
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11.07U. S. Naval Academy2.510.0%1st Place
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6.26Yale University3.720.1%1st Place
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9.33University of Rhode Island2.950.1%1st Place
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8.49Harvard University3.160.1%1st Place
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5.49Boston College3.920.1%1st Place
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9.52University of Vermont2.900.0%1st Place
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9.25Brown University3.050.1%1st Place
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10.29Roger Williams University2.770.0%1st Place
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15.59Northwestern University1.270.0%1st Place
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9.8U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.810.0%1st Place
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10.99Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.490.0%1st Place
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9.3Dartmouth College2.970.0%1st Place
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8.29Tufts University3.210.1%1st Place
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12.14Georgetown University2.300.0%1st Place
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9.65Northeastern University2.840.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ryan Astwood | 10.2% | 10.0% | 10.4% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Tom Peabody | 2.7% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 5.9% | 3.8% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 4.4% |
| Bryce Kopp | 6.0% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 0.8% |
| Charles Peck | 3.4% | 2.5% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 8.1% | 9.5% | 10.9% | 6.0% |
| Joseph Kiss | 12.0% | 11.7% | 9.2% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 8.4% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Matthew Coughlin | 5.4% | 4.3% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 2.0% |
| Gram Slattery | 5.9% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 1.1% |
| William Bailey | 13.4% | 12.9% | 12.4% | 9.3% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 4.2% | 6.2% | 3.8% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| William Crary | 4.1% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 3.2% | 2.4% |
| Drew Shea | 6.0% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 4.2% | 1.7% |
| Henry Vogel | 4.5% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 3.5% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 4.4% |
| Jacob Bruce | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 5.5% | 7.6% | 12.8% | 51.4% |
| Bradley Milliken | 4.7% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 3.4% |
| William Godfrey | 3.3% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 10.5% | 6.1% |
| Christopher Price | 4.7% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 1.8% |
| David Liebenberg | 5.6% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 8.8% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 1.3% |
| Massimo Mazzolini | 2.8% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 8.3% | 10.7% | 15.1% | 9.6% |
| Conor Lodge | 4.3% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 3.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.