← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
11.1%
Within 2 Positions
4.3
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Boston University3.70+5.56vs Predicted
-
2Connecticut College3.23+6.38vs Predicted
-
3Boston College3.92+2.71vs Predicted
-
4Georgetown University2.30+7.86vs Predicted
-
5U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.81+4.90vs Predicted
-
6U. S. Naval Academy2.51+5.30vs Predicted
-
7University of Rhode Island2.95+2.39vs Predicted
-
8Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.49+3.22vs Predicted
-
9Yale University3.72-2.84vs Predicted
-
10Roger Williams University2.77+0.39vs Predicted
-
11Harvard University3.16-2.35vs Predicted
-
12Northeastern University2.84-1.78vs Predicted
-
13Dartmouth College2.97-3.87vs Predicted
-
14University of Vermont2.90-4.74vs Predicted
-
15Tufts University3.21-6.81vs Predicted
-
16Brown University3.05-6.95vs Predicted
-
17Bowdoin College2.74-6.61vs Predicted
-
18Northwestern University1.27-2.78vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
6.56Boston University3.700.1%1st Place
-
8.38Connecticut College3.230.1%1st Place
-
5.71Boston College3.920.1%1st Place
-
11.86Georgetown University2.300.0%1st Place
-
9.9U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.810.0%1st Place
-
11.3U. S. Naval Academy2.510.0%1st Place
-
9.39University of Rhode Island2.950.1%1st Place
-
11.22Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.490.0%1st Place
-
6.16Yale University3.720.1%1st Place
-
10.39Roger Williams University2.770.1%1st Place
-
8.65Harvard University3.160.1%1st Place
-
10.22Northeastern University2.840.0%1st Place
-
9.13Dartmouth College2.970.1%1st Place
-
9.26University of Vermont2.900.0%1st Place
-
8.19Tufts University3.210.1%1st Place
-
9.05Brown University3.050.1%1st Place
-
10.39Bowdoin College2.740.0%1st Place
-
15.22Northwestern University1.270.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ryan Astwood | 9.8% | 11.3% | 9.1% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Bryce Kopp | 5.3% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 2.3% | 0.8% |
| William Bailey | 11.6% | 12.8% | 11.0% | 9.2% | 8.5% | 8.7% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Massimo Mazzolini | 2.7% | 2.5% | 4.3% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 9.1% | 11.0% | 12.4% | 9.9% |
| Bradley Milliken | 4.2% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 6.6% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 3.4% |
| Charles Peck | 3.2% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 10.7% | 7.6% |
| Matthew Coughlin | 5.2% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 2.2% |
| William Godfrey | 3.8% | 2.9% | 4.6% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 8.6% | 8.7% | 11.5% | 6.9% |
| Joseph Kiss | 11.0% | 10.0% | 11.8% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Henry Vogel | 5.1% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 2.6% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 6.1% | 4.5% |
| Gram Slattery | 6.4% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 2.0% |
| Conor Lodge | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 6.9% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 8.2% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 3.8% |
| Christopher Price | 5.7% | 5.8% | 3.3% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 2.2% |
| William Crary | 4.6% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 2.9% |
| David Liebenberg | 6.9% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 0.7% |
| Drew Shea | 5.0% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 2.8% | 2.2% |
| Tom Peabody | 4.1% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 3.7% |
| Jacob Bruce | 1.6% | 0.5% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 6.1% | 8.7% | 12.9% | 47.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.