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📊 Prediction Accuracy
12.5%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University2.93+4.78vs Predicted
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2George Washington University2.19+5.83vs Predicted
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3Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.46+5.22vs Predicted
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4SUNY Maritime College2.51+2.66vs Predicted
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5University of Pennsylvania1.90+3.36vs Predicted
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6University of Vermont1.58+3.61vs Predicted
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7Northeastern University1.17+3.93vs Predicted
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8Old Dominion University1.81+0.59vs Predicted
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9Georgetown University2.75-3.42vs Predicted
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10U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.41+0.21vs Predicted
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11Tulane University2.46-5.00vs Predicted
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12College of Charleston1.97-3.98vs Predicted
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13North Carolina State University1.99-3.28vs Predicted
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14U. S. Naval Academy3.01-8.34vs Predicted
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15University of Michigan1.06-3.27vs Predicted
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16St. Mary's College of Maryland0.59-2.90vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.78Stanford University2.9311.1%1st Place
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7.83George Washington University2.197.0%1st Place
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8.22Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.465.6%1st Place
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6.66SUNY Maritime College2.518.7%1st Place
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8.36University of Pennsylvania1.905.7%1st Place
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9.61University of Vermont1.584.0%1st Place
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10.93Northeastern University1.172.9%1st Place
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8.59Old Dominion University1.815.5%1st Place
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5.58Georgetown University2.7512.6%1st Place
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10.21U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.413.4%1st Place
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6.0Tulane University2.469.7%1st Place
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8.02College of Charleston1.975.4%1st Place
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9.72North Carolina State University1.993.2%1st Place
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5.66U. S. Naval Academy3.0112.1%1st Place
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11.73University of Michigan1.062.2%1st Place
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13.1St. Mary's College of Maryland0.590.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jack Parkin | 11.1% | 10.0% | 10.4% | 10.8% | 9.2% | 9.8% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Michael Ehnot | 7.0% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 3.1% | 1.9% |
| Jake Vickers | 5.6% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 2.5% |
| Benton Amthor | 8.7% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 9.2% | 9.4% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 1.0% | 0.5% |
| Javier Garcon | 5.7% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 4.7% | 1.9% |
| Connell Phillipps | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 8.2% | 9.3% | 5.9% |
| Ted Bjerregaard | 2.9% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 11.7% | 14.1% | 13.1% |
| Noyl Odom | 5.5% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 5.3% | 2.4% |
| Mariner Fagan | 12.6% | 11.8% | 10.2% | 9.6% | 9.0% | 9.4% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 3.1% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| William Weinbecker | 3.4% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 8.9% | 8.3% | 11.1% | 10.8% | 8.5% |
| Cameron Giblin | 9.7% | 11.0% | 10.2% | 10.4% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Max Anker | 5.4% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 3.8% | 1.5% |
| Scott Harris | 3.2% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 9.4% | 8.3% | 9.1% | 5.5% |
| JC Hermus | 12.1% | 11.4% | 11.1% | 10.5% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Sherman Thompson | 2.2% | 1.5% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 12.3% | 17.0% | 18.1% |
| Hunter Cutting | 0.9% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 8.4% | 8.9% | 15.0% | 38.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.