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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
4.9
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University3.21+7.46vs Predicted
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2Bowdoin College2.74+8.59vs Predicted
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3Dartmouth College2.97+6.50vs Predicted
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4Boston College3.92+1.56vs Predicted
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5U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.81+4.92vs Predicted
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6Roger Williams University2.77+4.13vs Predicted
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7Connecticut College3.23+1.22vs Predicted
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8Georgetown University2.30+3.94vs Predicted
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9Northeastern University2.84+0.82vs Predicted
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10U. S. Naval Academy2.51+1.39vs Predicted
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11University of Rhode Island2.95-1.50vs Predicted
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12Northwestern University1.27+3.54vs Predicted
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13Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.49-1.87vs Predicted
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14Brown University3.05-5.33vs Predicted
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15University of Vermont2.90-5.46vs Predicted
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16Boston University3.70-9.55vs Predicted
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17Yale University3.72-10.67vs Predicted
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18Harvard University3.16-9.68vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.46Tufts University3.210.1%1st Place
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10.59Bowdoin College2.740.0%1st Place
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9.5Dartmouth College2.970.0%1st Place
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5.56Boston College3.920.1%1st Place
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9.92U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.810.0%1st Place
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10.13Roger Williams University2.770.0%1st Place
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8.22Connecticut College3.230.1%1st Place
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11.94Georgetown University2.300.0%1st Place
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9.82Northeastern University2.840.0%1st Place
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11.39U. S. Naval Academy2.510.0%1st Place
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9.5University of Rhode Island2.950.1%1st Place
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15.54Northwestern University1.270.0%1st Place
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11.13Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.490.0%1st Place
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8.67Brown University3.050.1%1st Place
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9.54University of Vermont2.900.0%1st Place
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6.45Boston University3.700.1%1st Place
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6.33Yale University3.720.1%1st Place
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8.32Harvard University3.160.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| David Liebenberg | 5.0% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 2.9% | 0.8% |
| Tom Peabody | 3.5% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 4.0% |
| Christopher Price | 4.7% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 8.1% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 1.4% |
| William Bailey | 13.4% | 12.0% | 13.5% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.2% |
| Bradley Milliken | 4.6% | 3.6% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 3.6% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 4.0% |
| Henry Vogel | 4.1% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 3.9% |
| Bryce Kopp | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 1.0% |
| Massimo Mazzolini | 2.7% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 8.4% | 10.7% | 13.6% | 9.5% |
| Conor Lodge | 3.5% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 6.4% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 8.6% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 2.3% |
| Charles Peck | 3.5% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 6.5% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 6.9% | 9.5% | 10.2% | 7.8% |
| Matthew Coughlin | 5.4% | 5.4% | 3.7% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 2.5% |
| Jacob Bruce | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 5.6% | 7.5% | 12.1% | 51.4% |
| William Godfrey | 3.7% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 7.0% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 10.0% | 5.9% |
| Drew Shea | 6.7% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 7.8% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 3.2% | 1.6% |
| William Crary | 4.2% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 2.5% |
| Ryan Astwood | 9.9% | 9.5% | 11.6% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Joseph Kiss | 11.7% | 11.1% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 10.0% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Gram Slattery | 5.8% | 7.8% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 7.6% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 2.6% | 1.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.