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📊 Prediction Accuracy
12.5%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Naval Academy3.01+4.50vs Predicted
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2Tulane University2.46+4.02vs Predicted
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3Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.46+5.40vs Predicted
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4University of Pennsylvania1.90+4.31vs Predicted
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5George Washington University2.19+2.91vs Predicted
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6Old Dominion University1.81+2.34vs Predicted
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7College of Charleston1.97+0.99vs Predicted
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8Stanford University2.93-2.33vs Predicted
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9University of Vermont1.58+0.74vs Predicted
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10Georgetown University2.75-4.59vs Predicted
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11St. Mary's College of Maryland0.15+2.76vs Predicted
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12SUNY Maritime College2.51-5.42vs Predicted
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13Northeastern University1.17-2.07vs Predicted
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14U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.41-3.76vs Predicted
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15North Carolina State University1.99-5.49vs Predicted
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16University of Michigan1.06-4.32vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.5U. S. Naval Academy3.0111.6%1st Place
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6.02Tulane University2.469.6%1st Place
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8.4Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.464.6%1st Place
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8.31University of Pennsylvania1.905.6%1st Place
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7.91George Washington University2.195.8%1st Place
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8.34Old Dominion University1.815.8%1st Place
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7.99College of Charleston1.975.9%1st Place
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5.67Stanford University2.9313.2%1st Place
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9.74University of Vermont1.583.0%1st Place
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5.41Georgetown University2.7513.7%1st Place
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13.76St. Mary's College of Maryland0.150.4%1st Place
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6.58SUNY Maritime College2.5110.0%1st Place
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10.93Northeastern University1.172.6%1st Place
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10.24U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.412.9%1st Place
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9.51North Carolina State University1.993.6%1st Place
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11.68University of Michigan1.061.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| JC Hermus | 11.6% | 12.3% | 11.3% | 10.8% | 9.5% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Cameron Giblin | 9.6% | 9.6% | 11.7% | 10.0% | 9.7% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Jake Vickers | 4.6% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 4.2% | 1.8% |
| Javier Garcon | 5.6% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 2.1% |
| Michael Ehnot | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 9.6% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 3.2% | 1.3% |
| Noyl Odom | 5.8% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 9.0% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 4.2% | 2.4% |
| Max Anker | 5.9% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 8.8% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 0.9% |
| Jack Parkin | 13.2% | 10.7% | 10.3% | 10.1% | 9.0% | 8.6% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Connell Phillipps | 3.0% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 9.2% | 9.6% | 9.5% | 8.3% | 5.4% |
| Mariner Fagan | 13.7% | 11.9% | 10.7% | 11.1% | 9.2% | 8.4% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Benjamin Chitterling | 0.4% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 8.7% | 14.2% | 47.9% |
| Benton Amthor | 10.0% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 1.6% | 0.4% |
| Ted Bjerregaard | 2.6% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 8.9% | 10.7% | 15.8% | 10.2% |
| William Weinbecker | 2.9% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 8.7% | 9.3% | 11.8% | 11.7% | 6.2% |
| Scott Harris | 3.6% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 10.3% | 10.3% | 7.2% | 3.8% |
| Sherman Thompson | 1.9% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 9.2% | 11.6% | 17.1% | 17.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.