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📊 Prediction Accuracy
43.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Washington College2.71+4.03vs Predicted
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2Monmouth University1.95+5.34vs Predicted
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3Christopher Newport University2.21+3.63vs Predicted
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4Drexel University1.75+4.27vs Predicted
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5St. Mary's College of Maryland3.19-1.04vs Predicted
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6Villanova University1.21+3.84vs Predicted
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7George Washington University3.49-3.62vs Predicted
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8Stevens Institute of Technology1.48+0.86vs Predicted
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9Washington College1.52-0.23vs Predicted
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10George Washington University1.77-1.96vs Predicted
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11U. S. Naval Academy1.60-2.45vs Predicted
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12Princeton University0.55-0.40vs Predicted
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13University of Pennsylvania2.06-5.98vs Predicted
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14Penn State University1.35-4.74vs Predicted
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15Rutgers University-0.35-1.45vs Predicted
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16Columbia University-3.30-0.11vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.03Washington College2.710.1%1st Place
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7.34Monmouth University1.950.1%1st Place
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6.63Christopher Newport University2.210.1%1st Place
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8.27Drexel University1.750.0%1st Place
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3.96St. Mary's College of Maryland3.190.2%1st Place
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9.84Villanova University1.210.0%1st Place
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3.38George Washington University3.490.3%1st Place
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8.86Stevens Institute of Technology1.480.0%1st Place
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8.77Washington College1.520.0%1st Place
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8.04George Washington University1.770.0%1st Place
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8.55U. S. Naval Academy1.600.0%1st Place
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11.6Princeton University0.550.0%1st Place
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7.02University of Pennsylvania2.060.1%1st Place
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9.26Penn State University1.350.0%1st Place
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13.55Rutgers University-0.350.0%1st Place
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15.89Columbia University-3.300.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Charles Nunn | 11.7% | 13.4% | 12.0% | 12.5% | 10.3% | 9.9% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Paul Stevens | 5.1% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 9.1% | 8.4% | 8.4% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 4.8% | 3.3% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Austin Powers | 7.2% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 9.9% | 9.6% | 9.1% | 10.4% | 8.5% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Joan Boyle | 3.3% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 8.6% | 8.4% | 10.0% | 7.9% | 9.1% | 8.2% | 5.7% | 1.7% | 0.0% |
| Benjamin Garber | 18.3% | 17.0% | 15.6% | 12.4% | 11.3% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 4.3% | 2.7% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Scott Barnhill | 2.5% | 3.0% | 1.9% | 3.3% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 9.0% | 10.4% | 10.8% | 13.2% | 7.0% | 0.0% |
| Brendan Shanahan | 25.8% | 17.9% | 16.8% | 11.8% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 4.4% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nicolas Carabelli | 3.0% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 8.9% | 9.7% | 11.9% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 3.0% | 0.1% |
| Hannah Schmidt | 4.0% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 9.4% | 9.1% | 8.6% | 9.5% | 8.7% | 8.0% | 3.0% | 0.1% |
| Jay Spector | 4.8% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 10.9% | 10.4% | 9.8% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 3.9% | 1.3% | 0.0% |
| Spencer Nora | 4.1% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 11.6% | 8.5% | 10.4% | 5.5% | 2.6% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Grasso | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 13.4% | 21.5% | 19.7% | 0.6% |
| Joe Farned | 5.0% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 9.4% | 9.6% | 7.8% | 9.5% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 5.4% | 4.0% | 2.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| John Shanahan | 3.2% | 2.6% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 12.8% | 11.2% | 9.7% | 3.2% | 0.2% |
| Mary Morgan | 0.7% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 8.0% | 15.8% | 54.5% | 3.9% |
| Brian Fischman | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 1.1% | 2.8% | 94.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.