← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
31.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Stanford University2.93+4.77vs Predicted
-
2U. S. Naval Academy3.01+3.49vs Predicted
-
3University of Pennsylvania1.90+5.33vs Predicted
-
4Georgetown University2.75+1.58vs Predicted
-
5Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.46+3.24vs Predicted
-
6George Washington University2.19+1.69vs Predicted
-
7SUNY Maritime College2.51-0.33vs Predicted
-
8Northeastern University1.17+2.94vs Predicted
-
9U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.41+1.13vs Predicted
-
10Tulane University2.46-3.71vs Predicted
-
11Old Dominion University1.81-2.46vs Predicted
-
12University of Vermont1.58-2.10vs Predicted
-
13College of Charleston1.97-5.06vs Predicted
-
14North Carolina State University1.99-4.43vs Predicted
-
15St. Mary's College of Maryland0.59-2.00vs Predicted
-
16University of Michigan1.06-4.09vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
5.77Stanford University2.9311.9%1st Place
-
5.49U. S. Naval Academy3.0111.6%1st Place
-
8.33University of Pennsylvania1.905.2%1st Place
-
5.58Georgetown University2.7511.8%1st Place
-
8.24Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.465.9%1st Place
-
7.69George Washington University2.196.0%1st Place
-
6.67SUNY Maritime College2.518.6%1st Place
-
10.94Northeastern University1.172.5%1st Place
-
10.13U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.413.8%1st Place
-
6.29Tulane University2.469.8%1st Place
-
8.54Old Dominion University1.814.8%1st Place
-
9.9University of Vermont1.584.2%1st Place
-
7.94College of Charleston1.976.6%1st Place
-
9.57North Carolina State University1.994.8%1st Place
-
13.0St. Mary's College of Maryland0.590.9%1st Place
-
11.91University of Michigan1.061.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jack Parkin | 11.9% | 10.8% | 11.1% | 10.0% | 7.9% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| JC Hermus | 11.6% | 11.7% | 11.2% | 11.1% | 9.8% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Javier Garcon | 5.2% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 2.6% |
| Mariner Fagan | 11.8% | 11.5% | 10.4% | 9.8% | 10.4% | 8.8% | 9.3% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Jake Vickers | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 1.3% |
| Michael Ehnot | 6.0% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 1.4% |
| Benton Amthor | 8.6% | 8.9% | 9.0% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 1.5% | 0.4% |
| Ted Bjerregaard | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 9.3% | 11.2% | 13.1% | 12.8% |
| William Weinbecker | 3.8% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 8.5% | 10.2% | 12.0% | 8.9% | 7.4% |
| Cameron Giblin | 9.8% | 9.4% | 8.6% | 9.3% | 8.6% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Noyl Odom | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 8.6% | 6.3% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 2.6% |
| Connell Phillipps | 4.2% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 8.6% | 10.1% | 9.6% | 9.3% | 6.5% |
| Max Anker | 6.6% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 3.8% | 1.7% |
| Scott Harris | 4.8% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 10.2% | 8.6% | 6.2% |
| Hunter Cutting | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 7.0% | 8.8% | 17.2% | 36.1% |
| Sherman Thompson | 1.8% | 1.5% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 11.3% | 16.9% | 20.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.