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📊 Prediction Accuracy
43.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University2.93+4.81vs Predicted
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2Northeastern University1.17+9.01vs Predicted
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3SUNY Maritime College2.51+3.54vs Predicted
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4U. S. Naval Academy3.01+1.53vs Predicted
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5Georgetown University2.75+0.57vs Predicted
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6Tulane University2.46+0.16vs Predicted
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7George Washington University2.19+0.94vs Predicted
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8Old Dominion University1.81+0.54vs Predicted
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9University of Vermont1.58+0.74vs Predicted
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10College of Charleston1.97-2.04vs Predicted
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11University of Pennsylvania1.90-2.52vs Predicted
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12Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.46-3.59vs Predicted
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13U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.41-2.99vs Predicted
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14University of Michigan1.06-2.21vs Predicted
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15St. Mary's College of Maryland0.59-1.99vs Predicted
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16North Carolina State University1.99-6.49vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.81Stanford University2.9311.1%1st Place
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11.01Northeastern University1.172.3%1st Place
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6.54SUNY Maritime College2.519.2%1st Place
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5.53U. S. Naval Academy3.0112.1%1st Place
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5.57Georgetown University2.7511.1%1st Place
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6.16Tulane University2.4610.3%1st Place
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7.94George Washington University2.196.2%1st Place
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8.54Old Dominion University1.815.3%1st Place
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9.74University of Vermont1.584.1%1st Place
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7.96College of Charleston1.976.5%1st Place
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8.48University of Pennsylvania1.905.1%1st Place
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8.41Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.465.9%1st Place
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10.01U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.413.8%1st Place
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11.79University of Michigan1.061.4%1st Place
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13.01St. Mary's College of Maryland0.591.2%1st Place
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9.51North Carolina State University1.994.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jack Parkin | 11.1% | 10.8% | 11.2% | 10.0% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Ted Bjerregaard | 2.3% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 9.0% | 11.1% | 14.1% | 12.3% |
| Benton Amthor | 9.2% | 9.3% | 8.5% | 9.3% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 9.3% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 1.3% | 0.1% |
| JC Hermus | 12.1% | 12.4% | 10.0% | 10.8% | 9.7% | 8.7% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Mariner Fagan | 11.1% | 11.5% | 12.3% | 10.2% | 10.3% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Cameron Giblin | 10.3% | 9.7% | 9.8% | 9.5% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Michael Ehnot | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 1.1% |
| Noyl Odom | 5.3% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 8.9% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 4.5% | 2.9% |
| Connell Phillipps | 4.1% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 9.4% | 10.0% | 8.7% | 6.0% |
| Max Anker | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 4.2% | 1.4% |
| Javier Garcon | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 2.9% |
| Jake Vickers | 5.9% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 2.0% |
| William Weinbecker | 3.8% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 11.0% | 10.7% | 7.8% |
| Sherman Thompson | 1.4% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 10.4% | 16.4% | 20.3% |
| Hunter Cutting | 1.2% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 9.4% | 16.6% | 37.9% |
| Scott Harris | 4.4% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 9.6% | 9.7% | 7.5% | 5.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.