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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stevens Institute of Technology1.48+7.87vs Predicted
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2Princeton University0.55+9.76vs Predicted
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3George Washington University3.49+0.28vs Predicted
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4University of Pennsylvania2.06+3.27vs Predicted
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5Monmouth University1.95+2.56vs Predicted
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6Washington College2.71-0.84vs Predicted
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7Christopher Newport University2.21-0.24vs Predicted
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8U. S. Naval Academy1.60+0.52vs Predicted
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9George Washington University1.77-1.01vs Predicted
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10Drexel University1.75-1.77vs Predicted
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11Washington College1.52-2.12vs Predicted
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12St. Mary's College of Maryland3.19-8.08vs Predicted
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13Villanova University1.21-3.12vs Predicted
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14Rutgers University-0.35-0.15vs Predicted
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15Penn State University1.35-5.45vs Predicted
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16Columbia University-0.66-1.49vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.87Stevens Institute of Technology1.480.0%1st Place
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11.76Princeton University0.550.0%1st Place
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3.28George Washington University3.490.2%1st Place
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7.27University of Pennsylvania2.060.1%1st Place
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7.56Monmouth University1.950.0%1st Place
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5.16Washington College2.710.1%1st Place
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6.76Christopher Newport University2.210.1%1st Place
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8.52U. S. Naval Academy1.600.0%1st Place
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7.99George Washington University1.770.1%1st Place
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8.23Drexel University1.750.0%1st Place
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8.88Washington College1.520.0%1st Place
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3.92St. Mary's College of Maryland3.190.2%1st Place
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9.88Villanova University1.210.0%1st Place
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13.85Rutgers University-0.350.0%1st Place
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9.55Penn State University1.350.0%1st Place
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14.51Columbia University-0.660.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nicolas Carabelli | 2.5% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 9.7% | 8.4% | 9.2% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 4.2% | 0.8% |
| Andrew Grasso | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 9.1% | 11.4% | 18.7% | 18.0% | 8.2% |
| Brendan Shanahan | 24.2% | 20.2% | 17.4% | 13.5% | 9.3% | 6.3% | 4.5% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Joe Farned | 5.1% | 6.0% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 10.0% | 8.0% | 10.0% | 9.5% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 2.6% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Paul Stevens | 4.4% | 5.4% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 9.1% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 0.0% |
| Charles Nunn | 11.8% | 12.4% | 12.4% | 11.5% | 9.8% | 9.6% | 8.5% | 7.9% | 5.9% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Austin Powers | 8.0% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 10.0% | 9.1% | 9.0% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Spencer Nora | 4.1% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 8.7% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 9.9% | 5.9% | 3.8% | 0.2% |
| Jay Spector | 5.0% | 4.2% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 8.7% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 4.4% | 2.1% | 0.6% |
| Joan Boyle | 4.3% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 9.4% | 8.3% | 11.0% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 5.1% | 1.3% | 0.6% |
| Hannah Schmidt | 4.2% | 3.3% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 9.0% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 9.4% | 7.7% | 4.2% | 0.9% |
| Benjamin Garber | 19.0% | 19.7% | 12.4% | 13.0% | 11.2% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Scott Barnhill | 2.2% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 9.8% | 11.0% | 10.1% | 10.4% | 7.3% | 2.4% |
| Mary Morgan | 0.5% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 4.7% | 6.6% | 12.5% | 26.8% | 34.7% |
| John Shanahan | 3.2% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 10.3% | 11.2% | 10.4% | 9.7% | 5.3% | 1.4% |
| Yuval Millet | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 8.9% | 23.7% | 50.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.