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📊 Prediction Accuracy
43.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Naval Academy3.01+4.67vs Predicted
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2College of Charleston1.97+6.24vs Predicted
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3Northeastern University1.17+8.01vs Predicted
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4Tulane University2.46+2.41vs Predicted
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5University of Pennsylvania2.42+1.54vs Predicted
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6Stanford University2.930.00vs Predicted
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7SUNY Maritime College2.51-0.27vs Predicted
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8North Carolina State University1.99+1.43vs Predicted
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9Old Dominion University1.81-0.38vs Predicted
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10George Washington University2.19-1.94vs Predicted
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11St. Mary's College of Maryland0.59+2.05vs Predicted
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12Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.46-3.48vs Predicted
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13University of Michigan1.06-1.09vs Predicted
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14University of Vermont1.58-4.10vs Predicted
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15Georgetown University2.75-9.32vs Predicted
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16U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.41-5.75vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.67U. S. Naval Academy3.0111.8%1st Place
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8.24College of Charleston1.975.3%1st Place
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11.01Northeastern University1.172.9%1st Place
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6.41Tulane University2.469.7%1st Place
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6.54University of Pennsylvania2.428.2%1st Place
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6.0Stanford University2.9310.2%1st Place
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6.73SUNY Maritime College2.518.9%1st Place
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9.43North Carolina State University1.994.5%1st Place
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8.62Old Dominion University1.815.6%1st Place
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8.06George Washington University2.196.3%1st Place
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13.05St. Mary's College of Maryland0.591.7%1st Place
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8.52Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.465.0%1st Place
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11.91University of Michigan1.062.1%1st Place
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9.9University of Vermont1.583.3%1st Place
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5.68Georgetown University2.7511.9%1st Place
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10.25U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.412.6%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| JC Hermus | 11.8% | 11.6% | 10.8% | 9.3% | 10.1% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Max Anker | 5.3% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 3.8% | 1.9% |
| Ted Bjerregaard | 2.9% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 10.6% | 15.0% | 12.8% |
| Cameron Giblin | 9.7% | 9.4% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
| Jordan Bruce | 8.2% | 8.2% | 10.0% | 8.7% | 9.0% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Jack Parkin | 10.2% | 10.2% | 10.6% | 10.0% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Benton Amthor | 8.9% | 8.7% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 0.8% |
| Scott Harris | 4.5% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 9.6% | 9.0% | 8.5% | 4.7% |
| Noyl Odom | 5.6% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 5.0% | 2.4% |
| Michael Ehnot | 6.3% | 5.0% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 2.2% |
| Hunter Cutting | 1.7% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 7.5% | 10.5% | 14.1% | 37.9% |
| Jake Vickers | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 2.5% |
| Sherman Thompson | 2.1% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 8.9% | 12.0% | 16.8% | 20.8% |
| Connell Phillipps | 3.3% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 10.3% | 9.8% | 6.6% |
| Mariner Fagan | 11.9% | 12.0% | 10.5% | 9.6% | 9.5% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| William Weinbecker | 2.6% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 9.2% | 11.1% | 11.9% | 6.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.