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📊 Prediction Accuracy
72.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Fairfield University0.59+2.41vs Predicted
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2McGill University0.01+2.43vs Predicted
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3Salve Regina University0.46+0.12vs Predicted
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4Northeastern University-0.19+1.08vs Predicted
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5University of Rhode Island0.70-0.97vs Predicted
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6Bentley University-1.10+0.95vs Predicted
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7Boston University-1.31+0.57vs Predicted
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8University of Vermont-0.72-1.93vs Predicted
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9Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.43-1.54vs Predicted
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10University of Massachusetts at Amherst-2.46-0.66vs Predicted
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11Brandeis University-1.89-2.45vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.41Fairfield University0.5919.6%1st Place
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4.43McGill University0.0113.6%1st Place
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3.12Salve Regina University0.4625.4%1st Place
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5.08Northeastern University-0.198.5%1st Place
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4.03University of Rhode Island0.7014.0%1st Place
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6.95Bentley University-1.103.7%1st Place
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7.57Boston University-1.313.6%1st Place
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6.07University of Vermont-0.725.9%1st Place
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7.46Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.432.8%1st Place
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9.34University of Massachusetts at Amherst-2.461.1%1st Place
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8.55Brandeis University-1.891.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bryce Vitiello | 19.6% | 20.5% | 17.9% | 14.6% | 10.3% | 8.1% | 5.5% | 2.4% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Andrew Richards | 13.6% | 12.5% | 11.5% | 14.6% | 14.0% | 12.6% | 10.3% | 6.5% | 3.2% | 1.2% | 0.1% |
| Emil Tullberg | 25.4% | 20.4% | 15.7% | 14.9% | 11.5% | 6.4% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Grant Smith | 8.5% | 9.8% | 11.9% | 11.9% | 13.2% | 13.2% | 13.4% | 9.2% | 5.9% | 2.7% | 0.4% |
| John Mason | 14.0% | 15.7% | 16.1% | 14.9% | 12.8% | 11.2% | 7.8% | 4.8% | 2.0% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Wilfred Hynes | 3.7% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 10.5% | 12.6% | 14.8% | 16.1% | 12.4% | 5.7% |
| Danielle Bogacheva | 3.6% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 7.7% | 10.2% | 13.4% | 18.2% | 16.2% | 12.4% |
| Mungo McKemey | 5.9% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 11.1% | 12.9% | 14.0% | 14.4% | 10.1% | 7.7% | 1.8% |
| Joseph Gedraitis | 2.8% | 3.1% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 11.2% | 14.8% | 16.7% | 16.7% | 9.4% |
| Brooklyn Geary | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 7.3% | 11.5% | 19.1% | 44.9% |
| Miles Laker | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 5.6% | 7.5% | 10.5% | 14.8% | 23.1% | 25.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.