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📊 Prediction Accuracy
23.1%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College3.50+4.98vs Predicted
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2Tufts University3.65+3.54vs Predicted
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3Dartmouth College3.23+3.83vs Predicted
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4Connecticut College3.33+2.50vs Predicted
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5University of Rhode Island2.86+2.86vs Predicted
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6Harvard University3.38+0.25vs Predicted
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7Yale University3.50-1.10vs Predicted
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8Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.17+1.86vs Predicted
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9U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.32-2.40vs Predicted
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10Brown University3.52-4.19vs Predicted
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11Boston University3.13-4.16vs Predicted
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12Bowdoin College2.56-3.01vs Predicted
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13University of Vermont2.86-4.95vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.98Boston College3.500.1%1st Place
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5.54Tufts University3.650.1%1st Place
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6.83Dartmouth College3.230.1%1st Place
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6.5Connecticut College3.330.1%1st Place
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7.86University of Rhode Island2.860.1%1st Place
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6.25Harvard University3.380.1%1st Place
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5.9Yale University3.500.1%1st Place
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9.86Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.170.0%1st Place
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6.6U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.320.1%1st Place
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5.81Brown University3.520.1%1st Place
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6.84Boston University3.130.1%1st Place
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8.99Bowdoin College2.560.0%1st Place
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8.05University of Vermont2.860.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emily Maxwell | 9.4% | 9.3% | 11.0% | 10.1% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 8.9% | 9.2% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 3.7% | 2.2% |
| Margaret Tautz | 10.3% | 12.3% | 10.2% | 10.4% | 10.4% | 8.5% | 9.2% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 2.6% | 1.8% |
| Chandler Salisbury | 6.7% | 7.5% | 8.9% | 7.3% | 8.8% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 9.5% | 9.5% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 4.1% |
| Elizabeth Whipple | 8.3% | 9.1% | 7.5% | 9.6% | 7.5% | 9.5% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 8.9% | 7.2% | 9.0% | 5.3% | 3.1% |
| Liv Gunnarsson | 5.9% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 9.5% | 10.7% | 11.0% | 10.1% |
| Elizabeth Powers | 9.5% | 8.4% | 9.7% | 8.9% | 8.9% | 7.7% | 9.3% | 8.9% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 2.6% |
| Claire Dennis | 10.7% | 11.1% | 9.8% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 9.5% | 8.7% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 1.9% |
| Jamie Curran | 2.7% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 10.2% | 15.3% | 31.7% |
| Jennifer Proctor | 9.0% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 9.2% | 8.7% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 9.2% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 5.2% |
| Charlotte Lipschitz | 12.2% | 9.2% | 10.6% | 9.0% | 9.4% | 9.4% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 2.3% |
| Brendan Cook | 7.2% | 8.4% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 8.7% | 8.4% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 4.8% |
| Katherine Doble | 3.7% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 4.9% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 11.5% | 14.7% | 19.9% |
| Alexandra Arntsen | 4.4% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 10.2% | 9.6% | 12.6% | 10.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.