← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
43.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1St. Mary's College of Maryland2.05+5.92vs Predicted
-
2Stanford University2.55+3.03vs Predicted
-
3University of Pennsylvania1.59+5.29vs Predicted
-
4George Washington University2.13+2.84vs Predicted
-
5Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.59+3.71vs Predicted
-
6Georgetown University2.20+0.58vs Predicted
-
7College of Charleston2.23-0.06vs Predicted
-
8U. S. Naval Academy1.97-0.29vs Predicted
-
9SUNY Maritime College0.42-1.04vs Predicted
-
10University of Michigan1.12+0.36vs Predicted
-
11Tulane University1.77-3.40vs Predicted
-
12Northeastern University1.69-1.84vs Predicted
-
13North Carolina State University0.91+0.29vs Predicted
-
14U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.22-3.72vs Predicted
-
15University of Vermont0.85-4.30vs Predicted
-
16Old Dominion University1.59-7.37vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
6.92St. Mary's College of Maryland2.058.0%1st Place
-
5.03Stanford University2.5514.9%1st Place
-
8.29University of Pennsylvania1.596.1%1st Place
-
6.84George Washington University2.137.8%1st Place
-
8.71Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.594.9%1st Place
-
6.58Georgetown University2.208.6%1st Place
-
6.94College of Charleston2.239.3%1st Place
-
7.71U. S. Naval Academy1.977.3%1st Place
-
7.96SUNY Maritime College0.426.6%1st Place
-
10.36University of Michigan1.123.1%1st Place
-
7.6Tulane University1.776.3%1st Place
-
10.16Northeastern University1.693.7%1st Place
-
13.29North Carolina State University0.911.2%1st Place
-
10.28U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.223.4%1st Place
-
10.7University of Vermont0.853.4%1st Place
-
8.63Old Dominion University1.595.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Charlie Anderson | 8.0% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 9.0% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 1.5% | 0.9% |
| Wiley Rogers | 14.9% | 13.0% | 11.8% | 10.5% | 10.3% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Christopher Sharpless | 6.1% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 2.6% |
| Cameron Feves | 7.8% | 8.2% | 10.3% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 0.8% |
| Nicholas Sessions | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 3.0% |
| Diego Escobar | 8.6% | 9.2% | 9.5% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 1.4% | 0.4% |
| Brandon Geller | 9.3% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 1.9% | 0.6% |
| Gray Benson | 7.3% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 3.6% | 1.8% |
| Nick Chisari | 6.6% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 1.6% |
| Joe Serpa | 3.1% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 9.4% | 10.1% | 12.6% | 9.2% |
| Asher Zittrer | 6.3% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 1.1% |
| Adrian van der Wal | 3.7% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 8.8% | 11.9% | 11.8% | 7.9% |
| Hogan O'Donnell | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 8.9% | 14.3% | 43.6% |
| Lars Osell | 3.4% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 11.0% | 11.1% | 9.1% |
| Nicholas Salvesen | 3.4% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 13.7% | 13.5% |
| Andrew Ciszewski | 5.2% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 4.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.