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📊 Prediction Accuracy
31.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston2.23+5.80vs Predicted
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2Northeastern University1.69+8.11vs Predicted
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3Stanford University2.55+1.91vs Predicted
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4Tulane University1.77+3.70vs Predicted
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5George Washington University2.13+1.91vs Predicted
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6University of Vermont0.85+4.60vs Predicted
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7Old Dominion University1.59+2.04vs Predicted
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8Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.59+0.67vs Predicted
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9St. Mary's College of Maryland2.05-2.08vs Predicted
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10U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.22+0.16vs Predicted
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11U. S. Naval Academy1.97-3.06vs Predicted
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12Georgetown University2.20-5.34vs Predicted
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13North Carolina State University0.91+0.39vs Predicted
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14University of Pennsylvania1.59-5.76vs Predicted
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15SUNY Maritime College0.42-7.37vs Predicted
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16University of Michigan1.12-5.68vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.8College of Charleston2.238.3%1st Place
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10.11Northeastern University1.694.5%1st Place
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4.91Stanford University2.5515.8%1st Place
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7.7Tulane University1.777.2%1st Place
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6.91George Washington University2.138.7%1st Place
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10.6University of Vermont0.852.5%1st Place
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9.04Old Dominion University1.594.7%1st Place
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8.67Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.595.6%1st Place
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6.92St. Mary's College of Maryland2.058.0%1st Place
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10.16U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.223.0%1st Place
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7.94U. S. Naval Academy1.976.5%1st Place
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6.66Georgetown University2.208.2%1st Place
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13.39North Carolina State University0.910.9%1st Place
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8.24University of Pennsylvania1.596.6%1st Place
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7.63SUNY Maritime College0.426.2%1st Place
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10.32University of Michigan1.123.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brandon Geller | 8.3% | 8.5% | 8.9% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 1.9% | 0.4% |
| Adrian van der Wal | 4.5% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 9.8% | 8.8% | 11.1% | 8.5% |
| Wiley Rogers | 15.8% | 14.3% | 11.7% | 11.0% | 9.8% | 8.6% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Asher Zittrer | 7.2% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 3.7% | 1.2% |
| Cameron Feves | 8.7% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 0.6% |
| Nicholas Salvesen | 2.5% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 10.8% | 13.5% | 10.8% |
| Andrew Ciszewski | 4.7% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 4.0% |
| Nicholas Sessions | 5.6% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 3.5% |
| Charlie Anderson | 8.0% | 9.0% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 2.2% | 0.8% |
| Lars Osell | 3.0% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 9.0% | 11.0% | 11.2% | 8.5% |
| Gray Benson | 6.5% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 3.8% | 2.1% |
| Diego Escobar | 8.2% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 4.0% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 0.4% |
| Hogan O'Donnell | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 7.8% | 13.1% | 47.0% |
| Christopher Sharpless | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 2.1% |
| Nick Chisari | 6.2% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 8.4% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 3.2% | 1.6% |
| Joe Serpa | 3.4% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 8.9% | 10.4% | 13.7% | 8.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.