Race 8A

central-fall-2

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Paul Stevens 4.0% 7.9% 7.3% 7.3% 8.5% 8.7% 8.4% 6.8% 9.6% 7.5% 7.8% 7.1% 4.8% 2.7% 1.4% 0.2%
Brendan Shanahan 27.1% 18.3% 16.1% 12.7% 8.1% 7.6% 5.4% 1.9% 1.7% 0.8% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Benjamin Garber 17.7% 17.2% 15.4% 14.8% 9.9% 9.7% 6.2% 2.8% 3.3% 1.5% 0.8% 0.5% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Charles Nunn 11.2% 11.0% 12.8% 10.0% 12.9% 10.3% 8.9% 7.4% 4.6% 5.6% 2.4% 1.7% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
Scott Barnhill 2.4% 2.6% 2.8% 3.7% 4.0% 4.6% 6.0% 7.7% 6.4% 7.3% 10.5% 9.1% 11.0% 12.7% 8.2% 1.0%
Andrew Grasso 1.2% 1.6% 1.0% 1.6% 2.8% 1.6% 3.4% 3.8% 5.3% 7.1% 7.0% 7.5% 10.8% 18.3% 17.2% 9.8%
Jay Spector 4.9% 4.8% 5.7% 5.8% 6.4% 7.0% 7.5% 8.5% 8.1% 8.5% 8.5% 9.2% 7.9% 5.0% 1.7% 0.5%
Joan Boyle 4.3% 4.7% 7.0% 6.2% 7.9% 6.6% 7.3% 8.6% 7.7% 9.9% 7.5% 8.5% 7.8% 3.8% 2.0% 0.2%
Austin Powers 7.4% 7.0% 8.4% 9.2% 9.1% 10.4% 9.4% 9.0% 8.2% 6.5% 5.2% 3.9% 3.5% 1.5% 1.3% 0.0%
Spencer Nora 4.6% 3.9% 4.2% 3.8% 5.6% 6.3% 7.0% 9.2% 9.3% 8.9% 9.2% 10.0% 8.0% 6.1% 3.4% 0.5%
Joe Farned 6.3% 7.8% 7.0% 8.1% 6.7% 7.7% 8.3% 10.1% 9.1% 8.6% 6.7% 6.0% 4.2% 2.2% 1.0% 0.2%
Hannah Schmidt 3.6% 4.9% 3.7% 4.8% 5.3% 6.9% 6.9% 6.7% 9.2% 7.0% 8.6% 9.1% 10.4% 8.8% 2.9% 1.2%
John Shanahan 2.3% 3.0% 3.6% 5.4% 5.2% 5.0% 7.0% 6.9% 6.2% 8.3% 11.6% 9.5% 9.2% 10.1% 5.2% 1.5%
Mary Morgan 0.1% 0.8% 0.8% 0.6% 1.3% 1.0% 1.8% 1.1% 2.0% 1.3% 4.1% 4.3% 7.1% 11.6% 29.2% 32.9%
Yuval Millet 0.3% 0.9% 0.8% 0.8% 0.6% 0.6% 0.3% 1.5% 0.7% 1.4% 1.9% 3.5% 4.0% 9.0% 22.6% 51.1%
Nicolas Carabelli 2.6% 3.6% 3.4% 5.2% 5.7% 6.0% 6.2% 8.0% 8.6% 9.8% 7.9% 10.1% 10.4% 7.8% 3.8% 0.9%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.