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📊 Prediction Accuracy
25.0%
Within 2 Positions
4.3
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1North Carolina State University0.91+12.35vs Predicted
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2Georgetown University2.20+4.44vs Predicted
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3George Washington University2.13+3.71vs Predicted
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4College of Charleston2.23+2.89vs Predicted
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5Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.59+3.58vs Predicted
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6Old Dominion University1.59+2.78vs Predicted
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7U. S. Naval Academy1.97+0.72vs Predicted
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8Northeastern University1.69+2.22vs Predicted
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9University of Michigan1.12+1.34vs Predicted
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10Stanford University2.55-5.04vs Predicted
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11University of Pennsylvania1.60-1.97vs Predicted
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12University of Vermont0.85-1.25vs Predicted
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13SUNY Maritime College0.42-5.38vs Predicted
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14St. Mary's College of Maryland2.05-7.09vs Predicted
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15Tulane University1.77-7.38vs Predicted
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16U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.22-5.92vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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13.35North Carolina State University0.911.2%1st Place
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6.44Georgetown University2.209.4%1st Place
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6.71George Washington University2.137.8%1st Place
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6.89College of Charleston2.238.6%1st Place
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8.58Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.594.7%1st Place
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8.78Old Dominion University1.595.1%1st Place
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7.72U. S. Naval Academy1.976.3%1st Place
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10.22Northeastern University1.693.1%1st Place
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10.34University of Michigan1.123.6%1st Place
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4.96Stanford University2.5515.9%1st Place
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9.03University of Pennsylvania1.604.6%1st Place
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10.75University of Vermont0.852.6%1st Place
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7.62SUNY Maritime College0.428.2%1st Place
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6.91St. Mary's College of Maryland2.058.9%1st Place
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7.62Tulane University1.775.8%1st Place
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10.08U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.224.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hogan O'Donnell | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 8.0% | 14.4% | 44.5% |
| Diego Escobar | 9.4% | 8.4% | 9.6% | 9.5% | 8.7% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 0.4% |
| Cameron Feves | 7.8% | 10.1% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 8.7% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 0.5% |
| Brandon Geller | 8.6% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 0.8% |
| Nicholas Sessions | 4.7% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 3.6% |
| Andrew Ciszewski | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 5.9% | 3.2% |
| Gray Benson | 6.3% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 8.4% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 1.5% |
| Adrian van der Wal | 3.1% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 11.2% | 11.2% | 8.7% |
| Joe Serpa | 3.6% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 10.4% | 11.8% | 10.1% |
| Wiley Rogers | 15.9% | 12.3% | 12.8% | 10.9% | 10.4% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Samuel Gavula | 4.6% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 9.4% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 3.5% |
| Nicholas Salvesen | 2.6% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 9.2% | 11.0% | 13.4% | 12.2% |
| Nick Chisari | 8.2% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 3.4% | 1.1% |
| Charlie Anderson | 8.9% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 9.1% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 2.0% | 0.4% |
| Asher Zittrer | 5.8% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 1.6% |
| Lars Osell | 4.2% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 8.8% | 10.5% | 11.5% | 7.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.