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📊 Prediction Accuracy
18.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1St. Mary's College of Maryland3.19+2.85vs Predicted
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2Drexel University1.75+5.99vs Predicted
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3Christopher Newport University2.21+3.69vs Predicted
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4Stevens Institute of Technology1.48+5.13vs Predicted
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5Monmouth University1.95+2.56vs Predicted
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6University of Pennsylvania2.06+1.21vs Predicted
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7George Washington University3.49-3.64vs Predicted
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8Washington College2.71-2.96vs Predicted
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9Princeton University0.55+2.77vs Predicted
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10Villanova University1.210.00vs Predicted
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11Washington College1.52-2.17vs Predicted
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12U. S. Naval Academy1.60-3.32vs Predicted
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13Columbia University-0.66+1.42vs Predicted
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14Penn State University1.35-4.63vs Predicted
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15George Washington University1.77-6.89vs Predicted
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16Rutgers University-0.35-2.02vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.85St. Mary's College of Maryland3.190.2%1st Place
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7.99Drexel University1.750.0%1st Place
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6.69Christopher Newport University2.210.1%1st Place
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9.13Stevens Institute of Technology1.480.0%1st Place
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7.56Monmouth University1.950.1%1st Place
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7.21University of Pennsylvania2.060.1%1st Place
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3.36George Washington University3.490.3%1st Place
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5.04Washington College2.710.1%1st Place
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11.77Princeton University0.550.0%1st Place
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10.0Villanova University1.210.0%1st Place
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8.83Washington College1.520.0%1st Place
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8.68U. S. Naval Academy1.600.0%1st Place
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14.42Columbia University-0.660.0%1st Place
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9.37Penn State University1.350.0%1st Place
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8.11George Washington University1.770.0%1st Place
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13.98Rutgers University-0.350.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Benjamin Garber | 19.1% | 17.4% | 16.5% | 13.4% | 10.8% | 7.1% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Joan Boyle | 4.3% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 8.4% | 8.8% | 7.3% | 9.1% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 4.3% | 1.4% | 0.7% |
| Austin Powers | 7.2% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 9.3% | 10.3% | 9.3% | 8.8% | 9.7% | 8.0% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Nicolas Carabelli | 2.4% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 8.7% | 9.7% | 8.0% | 12.2% | 7.4% | 5.0% | 0.7% |
| Paul Stevens | 5.3% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 8.4% | 8.8% | 9.1% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 1.4% | 0.1% |
| Joe Farned | 5.0% | 5.7% | 7.9% | 9.1% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 8.4% | 9.9% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Brendan Shanahan | 25.1% | 19.8% | 16.8% | 10.7% | 10.2% | 6.5% | 4.6% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Charles Nunn | 12.1% | 13.7% | 10.1% | 12.6% | 10.8% | 10.2% | 9.8% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Grasso | 1.3% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 12.0% | 18.5% | 16.9% | 8.8% |
| Scott Barnhill | 2.5% | 2.4% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 3.2% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 11.6% | 12.7% | 11.0% | 6.8% | 1.7% |
| Hannah Schmidt | 3.6% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 9.2% | 9.3% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 4.1% | 0.6% |
| Spencer Nora | 3.8% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 8.7% | 9.1% | 9.1% | 6.3% | 4.0% | 0.8% |
| Yuval Millet | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 2.2% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 9.6% | 22.4% | 48.7% |
| John Shanahan | 2.8% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 9.1% | 7.9% | 9.4% | 9.7% | 9.3% | 9.8% | 5.0% | 1.7% |
| Jay Spector | 4.9% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 10.2% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 5.1% | 1.6% | 0.2% |
| Mary Morgan | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 11.1% | 29.4% | 35.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.