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📊 Prediction Accuracy
37.5%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Naval Academy1.97+6.46vs Predicted
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2St. Mary's College of Maryland2.05+4.71vs Predicted
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3Tulane University1.77+4.48vs Predicted
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4George Washington University2.13+2.47vs Predicted
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5College of Charleston1.88+2.45vs Predicted
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6Georgetown University2.20+0.24vs Predicted
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7Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.59+1.37vs Predicted
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8U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.22+1.81vs Predicted
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9Northeastern University1.69+0.79vs Predicted
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10Stanford University2.55-5.24vs Predicted
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11University of Vermont0.85-0.57vs Predicted
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12Old Dominion University1.59-3.53vs Predicted
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13SUNY Maritime College0.42-5.63vs Predicted
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14University of Pennsylvania1.60-5.54vs Predicted
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15North Carolina State University0.91-1.82vs Predicted
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16University of Michigan0.08-2.43vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.46U. S. Naval Academy1.977.1%1st Place
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6.71St. Mary's College of Maryland2.059.0%1st Place
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7.48Tulane University1.777.1%1st Place
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6.47George Washington University2.139.4%1st Place
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7.45College of Charleston1.887.0%1st Place
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6.24Georgetown University2.2010.3%1st Place
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8.37Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.594.9%1st Place
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9.81U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.224.0%1st Place
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9.79Northeastern University1.693.8%1st Place
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4.76Stanford University2.5514.8%1st Place
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10.43University of Vermont0.853.0%1st Place
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8.47Old Dominion University1.595.8%1st Place
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7.37SUNY Maritime College0.426.0%1st Place
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8.46University of Pennsylvania1.605.2%1st Place
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13.18North Carolina State University0.910.9%1st Place
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13.57University of Michigan0.081.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gray Benson | 7.1% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 2.7% | 0.7% |
| Charlie Anderson | 9.0% | 8.3% | 9.1% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 8.4% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 3.1% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Asher Zittrer | 7.1% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 2.4% | 0.7% |
| Cameron Feves | 9.4% | 9.6% | 8.0% | 10.0% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 2.7% | 1.5% | 0.4% |
| Axel Stordahl | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 5.3% | 3.5% | 2.3% | 0.7% |
| Diego Escobar | 10.3% | 10.3% | 8.3% | 9.3% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Nicholas Sessions | 4.9% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 3.7% | 1.6% |
| Lars Osell | 4.0% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 10.9% | 10.8% | 10.2% | 4.7% |
| Adrian van der Wal | 3.8% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 9.0% | 10.3% | 10.2% | 9.8% | 4.1% |
| Wiley Rogers | 14.8% | 14.2% | 12.7% | 12.0% | 11.7% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Nicholas Salvesen | 3.0% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 9.4% | 12.7% | 12.2% | 7.0% |
| Andrew Ciszewski | 5.8% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 4.5% | 1.8% |
| Nick Chisari | 6.0% | 7.3% | 8.7% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 1.9% | 0.4% |
| Samuel Gavula | 5.2% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 8.8% | 7.1% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 1.9% |
| Hogan O'Donnell | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 10.9% | 20.5% | 33.9% |
| Samuel Ephraim | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 5.5% | 9.3% | 20.6% | 41.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.