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📊 Prediction Accuracy
31.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tulane University1.77+6.37vs Predicted
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2Stanford University2.55+2.77vs Predicted
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3George Washington University2.13+3.67vs Predicted
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4Georgetown University2.20+2.31vs Predicted
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5SUNY Maritime College0.42+2.49vs Predicted
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6U. S. Naval Academy1.97+1.30vs Predicted
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7University of Pennsylvania1.60+1.77vs Predicted
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8College of Charleston1.88-0.50vs Predicted
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9Northeastern University1.69+0.59vs Predicted
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10North Carolina State University0.91+3.01vs Predicted
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11Old Dominion University1.59-2.52vs Predicted
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12Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.59-3.62vs Predicted
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13U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.22-3.28vs Predicted
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14St. Mary's College of Maryland2.05-7.24vs Predicted
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15University of Michigan0.08-1.50vs Predicted
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16University of Vermont0.85-5.62vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.37Tulane University1.777.1%1st Place
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4.77Stanford University2.5516.8%1st Place
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6.67George Washington University2.139.0%1st Place
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6.31Georgetown University2.2010.1%1st Place
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7.49SUNY Maritime College0.426.2%1st Place
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7.3U. S. Naval Academy1.977.3%1st Place
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8.77University of Pennsylvania1.604.5%1st Place
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7.5College of Charleston1.886.6%1st Place
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9.59Northeastern University1.694.0%1st Place
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13.01North Carolina State University0.911.0%1st Place
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8.48Old Dominion University1.595.6%1st Place
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8.38Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.595.5%1st Place
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9.72U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.223.6%1st Place
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6.76St. Mary's College of Maryland2.059.0%1st Place
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13.5University of Michigan0.080.4%1st Place
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10.38University of Vermont0.853.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Asher Zittrer | 7.1% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 2.5% | 0.9% |
| Wiley Rogers | 16.8% | 13.5% | 12.4% | 11.2% | 9.6% | 9.4% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Cameron Feves | 9.0% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 0.4% |
| Diego Escobar | 10.1% | 9.4% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 9.3% | 8.4% | 8.8% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 4.8% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Nick Chisari | 6.2% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 2.8% | 0.7% |
| Gray Benson | 7.3% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 2.8% | 0.6% |
| Samuel Gavula | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 8.7% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 8.7% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 5.7% | 1.8% |
| Axel Stordahl | 6.6% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 4.3% | 2.3% | 0.9% |
| Adrian van der Wal | 4.0% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 10.0% | 8.5% | 4.7% |
| Hogan O'Donnell | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 9.8% | 22.3% | 31.0% |
| Andrew Ciszewski | 5.6% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 4.8% | 2.2% |
| Nicholas Sessions | 5.5% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 4.8% | 1.6% |
| Lars Osell | 3.6% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 11.2% | 9.3% | 4.4% |
| Charlie Anderson | 9.0% | 9.1% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 3.0% | 1.5% | 0.4% |
| Samuel Ephraim | 0.4% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 6.2% | 8.8% | 18.2% | 42.4% |
| Nicholas Salvesen | 3.0% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 10.1% | 11.5% | 12.2% | 7.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.