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📊 Prediction Accuracy
43.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Naval Academy2.33+3.17vs Predicted
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2St. Mary's College of Maryland2.76+1.31vs Predicted
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3Christopher Newport University1.55+3.46vs Predicted
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4Monmouth University-0.09+7.71vs Predicted
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5Penn State University1.37+2.05vs Predicted
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6Drexel University1.64+0.28vs Predicted
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7Ocean County College1.73-0.97vs Predicted
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8Stevens Institute of Technology0.93+0.33vs Predicted
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9George Washington University1.63-2.83vs Predicted
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10Princeton University0.31+0.52vs Predicted
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11Villanova University0.61-1.57vs Predicted
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12University of Pennsylvania0.87-3.32vs Predicted
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13George Washington University0.47-3.13vs Predicted
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14Washington College0.18-3.16vs Predicted
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15Columbia University-0.46-2.24vs Predicted
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16Rutgers University-1.25-1.60vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.17U. S. Naval Academy2.330.2%1st Place
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3.31St. Mary's College of Maryland2.760.3%1st Place
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6.46Christopher Newport University1.550.1%1st Place
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11.71Monmouth University-0.090.0%1st Place
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7.05Penn State University1.370.1%1st Place
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6.28Drexel University1.640.1%1st Place
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6.03Ocean County College1.730.1%1st Place
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8.33Stevens Institute of Technology0.930.0%1st Place
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6.17George Washington University1.630.1%1st Place
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10.52Princeton University0.310.0%1st Place
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9.43Villanova University0.610.0%1st Place
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8.68University of Pennsylvania0.870.0%1st Place
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9.87George Washington University0.470.0%1st Place
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10.84Washington College0.180.0%1st Place
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12.76Columbia University-0.460.0%1st Place
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14.4Rutgers University-1.250.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hannah Hughes | 17.3% | 16.7% | 14.3% | 13.5% | 9.5% | 9.0% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kyle Burgess | 25.7% | 20.5% | 16.1% | 11.6% | 8.5% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 3.0% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Annie Eckmann | 7.5% | 6.8% | 8.4% | 8.8% | 10.2% | 10.4% | 9.7% | 9.1% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Brogan Savage | 1.0% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 12.1% | 13.8% | 18.7% | 10.7% |
| Can Akdurak | 6.4% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 9.5% | 8.3% | 9.6% | 9.0% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 7.2% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 2.3% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| Chris Myers | 6.8% | 8.1% | 10.8% | 10.3% | 9.2% | 8.9% | 10.1% | 9.0% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Zachary Schippe | 8.8% | 10.2% | 9.3% | 8.6% | 8.7% | 10.2% | 11.1% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 6.5% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Meredith Foor | 3.6% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 6.4% | 8.4% | 8.8% | 7.9% | 9.6% | 10.7% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 2.5% | 0.5% |
| Benjaim Helfand | 7.9% | 8.5% | 10.0% | 10.6% | 9.2% | 9.9% | 9.2% | 9.1% | 7.2% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Adrija Navarro | 2.0% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 9.0% | 7.6% | 11.9% | 13.2% | 12.5% | 9.1% | 3.9% |
| Casey Jackson | 3.2% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 6.2% | 9.2% | 8.9% | 10.4% | 9.3% | 9.9% | 9.3% | 6.3% | 1.1% |
| Maxwell Ryder | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 8.8% | 7.9% | 11.3% | 8.4% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 4.1% | 0.9% |
| Elias Mattson | 2.2% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 9.5% | 10.8% | 9.8% | 11.8% | 5.4% | 3.0% |
| Mason Sheen | 2.2% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 10.1% | 12.0% | 12.4% | 11.9% | 6.0% |
| Gregory Rempe | 1.4% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 9.9% | 14.3% | 23.4% | 18.8% |
| Taylor Niles | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 3.9% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 16.6% | 54.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.