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📊 Prediction Accuracy
25.0%
Within 2 Positions
4.1
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Pennsylvania1.60+8.03vs Predicted
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2U. S. Naval Academy1.97+5.93vs Predicted
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3Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.59+5.67vs Predicted
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4College of Charleston2.23+2.77vs Predicted
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5Northeastern University1.69+5.24vs Predicted
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6Georgetown University2.20+0.47vs Predicted
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7George Washington University2.13-0.27vs Predicted
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8SUNY Maritime College0.42-0.46vs Predicted
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9North Carolina State University0.91+4.27vs Predicted
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10University of Vermont0.85+0.60vs Predicted
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11Tulane University1.77-3.26vs Predicted
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12Old Dominion University1.59-3.20vs Predicted
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13Stanford University2.55-7.98vs Predicted
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14St. Mary's College of Maryland2.05-7.31vs Predicted
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15University of Michigan1.12-4.68vs Predicted
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16U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.22-5.82vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.03University of Pennsylvania1.604.7%1st Place
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7.93U. S. Naval Academy1.976.2%1st Place
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8.67Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.594.4%1st Place
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6.77College of Charleston2.238.8%1st Place
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10.24Northeastern University1.693.1%1st Place
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6.47Georgetown University2.209.7%1st Place
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6.73George Washington University2.138.2%1st Place
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7.54SUNY Maritime College0.426.6%1st Place
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13.27North Carolina State University0.911.0%1st Place
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10.6University of Vermont0.852.5%1st Place
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7.74Tulane University1.778.3%1st Place
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8.8Old Dominion University1.595.5%1st Place
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5.02Stanford University2.5515.7%1st Place
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6.69St. Mary's College of Maryland2.059.3%1st Place
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10.32University of Michigan1.123.1%1st Place
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10.18U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.223.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Samuel Gavula | 4.7% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 4.2% |
| Gray Benson | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 3.6% | 1.8% |
| Nicholas Sessions | 4.4% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 5.9% | 2.8% |
| Brandon Geller | 8.8% | 9.2% | 8.4% | 9.1% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 1.0% |
| Adrian van der Wal | 3.1% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 8.7% | 11.0% | 10.5% | 8.8% |
| Diego Escobar | 9.7% | 8.8% | 9.3% | 8.5% | 9.7% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 2.8% | 1.4% | 0.2% |
| Cameron Feves | 8.2% | 9.5% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 8.4% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 0.5% |
| Nick Chisari | 6.6% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 3.1% | 1.4% |
| Hogan O'Donnell | 1.0% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 8.8% | 15.2% | 43.0% |
| Nicholas Salvesen | 2.5% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 9.2% | 13.5% | 12.3% |
| Asher Zittrer | 8.3% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 1.9% |
| Andrew Ciszewski | 5.5% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 3.2% |
| Wiley Rogers | 15.7% | 12.6% | 12.0% | 11.8% | 9.1% | 8.5% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Charlie Anderson | 9.3% | 9.1% | 9.2% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 0.6% |
| Joe Serpa | 3.1% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 9.1% | 11.4% | 11.7% | 9.3% |
| Lars Osell | 3.0% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 9.2% | 10.4% | 11.0% | 8.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.