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📊 Prediction Accuracy
31.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1St. Mary's College of Maryland2.76+2.25vs Predicted
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2Ocean County College1.73+3.90vs Predicted
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3U. S. Naval Academy2.33+1.26vs Predicted
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4Villanova University0.61+5.68vs Predicted
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5George Washington University0.47+5.01vs Predicted
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6University of Pennsylvania0.87+2.73vs Predicted
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7Monmouth University-0.09+4.65vs Predicted
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8Penn State University1.37-1.06vs Predicted
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9Stevens Institute of Technology0.93-0.62vs Predicted
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10Drexel University1.64-3.73vs Predicted
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11George Washington University1.63-4.74vs Predicted
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12Columbia University-0.46+0.56vs Predicted
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13Princeton University0.31-2.56vs Predicted
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14Christopher Newport University1.55-7.64vs Predicted
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15Washington College0.18-4.05vs Predicted
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16Rutgers University-1.25-1.62vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.25St. Mary's College of Maryland2.760.3%1st Place
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5.9Ocean County College1.730.1%1st Place
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4.26U. S. Naval Academy2.330.2%1st Place
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9.68Villanova University0.610.0%1st Place
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10.01George Washington University0.470.0%1st Place
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8.73University of Pennsylvania0.870.0%1st Place
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11.65Monmouth University-0.090.0%1st Place
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6.94Penn State University1.370.1%1st Place
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8.38Stevens Institute of Technology0.930.1%1st Place
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6.27Drexel University1.640.1%1st Place
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6.26George Washington University1.630.1%1st Place
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12.56Columbia University-0.460.0%1st Place
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10.44Princeton University0.310.0%1st Place
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6.36Christopher Newport University1.550.1%1st Place
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10.95Washington College0.180.0%1st Place
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14.38Rutgers University-1.250.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kyle Burgess | 25.3% | 22.8% | 16.3% | 10.2% | 8.9% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 3.1% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Zachary Schippe | 9.1% | 10.1% | 10.9% | 9.1% | 10.4% | 9.2% | 9.0% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 3.0% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Hannah Hughes | 15.9% | 14.7% | 14.3% | 13.7% | 12.9% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 5.4% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Casey Jackson | 2.2% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 9.1% | 9.8% | 8.7% | 10.6% | 10.7% | 6.6% | 2.3% |
| Elias Mattson | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 9.1% | 8.7% | 12.5% | 10.8% | 9.6% | 7.5% | 2.7% |
| Maxwell Ryder | 3.4% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 9.2% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 10.0% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 5.7% | 3.9% | 0.7% |
| Brogan Savage | 1.4% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 6.7% | 8.9% | 10.7% | 14.1% | 18.0% | 11.1% |
| Can Akdurak | 6.6% | 6.0% | 9.6% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 9.6% | 7.2% | 8.9% | 9.9% | 8.5% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Meredith Foor | 5.1% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 9.4% | 8.9% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 3.6% | 0.6% |
| Chris Myers | 8.0% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 8.9% | 9.6% | 11.1% | 9.5% | 9.6% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 3.4% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Benjaim Helfand | 8.7% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 9.4% | 9.5% | 8.9% | 10.0% | 9.4% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 4.1% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Gregory Rempe | 0.6% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 8.7% | 10.0% | 13.1% | 20.8% | 19.5% |
| Adrija Navarro | 2.1% | 1.5% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 8.4% | 9.4% | 10.5% | 12.6% | 11.4% | 8.6% | 4.7% |
| Annie Eckmann | 7.2% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 10.2% | 9.8% | 7.0% | 11.0% | 10.3% | 8.3% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.2% |
| Mason Sheen | 1.8% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 10.1% | 12.5% | 13.6% | 13.1% | 4.9% |
| Taylor Niles | 0.1% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 9.5% | 15.9% | 53.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.