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📊 Prediction Accuracy
37.5%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1George Washington University2.13+5.43vs Predicted
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2Tulane University1.77+5.50vs Predicted
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3St. Mary's College of Maryland2.05+3.63vs Predicted
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4Old Dominion University1.59+4.62vs Predicted
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5Georgetown University2.20+1.34vs Predicted
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6Northeastern University1.69+3.71vs Predicted
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7U. S. Naval Academy1.97+0.51vs Predicted
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8SUNY Maritime College1.88-0.55vs Predicted
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9College of Charleston1.88-1.59vs Predicted
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10Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.59-1.60vs Predicted
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11University of Vermont0.85-0.71vs Predicted
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12Stanford University2.61-7.15vs Predicted
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13U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.22-2.98vs Predicted
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14University of Pennsylvania1.60-5.49vs Predicted
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15North Carolina State University0.91-2.02vs Predicted
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16University of Michigan0.08-2.65vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.43George Washington University2.1310.4%1st Place
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7.5Tulane University1.776.9%1st Place
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6.63St. Mary's College of Maryland2.058.8%1st Place
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8.62Old Dominion University1.595.8%1st Place
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6.34Georgetown University2.209.2%1st Place
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9.71Northeastern University1.693.0%1st Place
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7.51U. S. Naval Academy1.977.6%1st Place
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7.45SUNY Maritime College1.886.9%1st Place
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7.41College of Charleston1.886.5%1st Place
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8.4Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.595.2%1st Place
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10.29University of Vermont0.853.8%1st Place
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4.85Stanford University2.6115.0%1st Place
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10.02U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.223.5%1st Place
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8.51University of Pennsylvania1.604.6%1st Place
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12.98North Carolina State University0.911.1%1st Place
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13.35University of Michigan0.081.7%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Cameron Feves | 10.4% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 8.7% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
Asher Zittrer | 6.9% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 0.8% |
Charlie Anderson | 8.8% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 1.4% | 0.2% |
Andrew Ciszewski | 5.8% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 7.7% | 5.4% | 1.8% |
Diego Escobar | 9.2% | 9.4% | 9.7% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 9.4% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
Adrian van der Wal | 3.0% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 10.5% | 9.2% | 4.5% |
Gray Benson | 7.6% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 1.1% |
Spencer Barnes | 6.9% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 0.6% |
Axel Stordahl | 6.5% | 8.8% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 2.1% | 0.9% |
Nicholas Sessions | 5.2% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 1.9% |
Nicholas Salvesen | 3.8% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 9.4% | 12.2% | 12.4% | 7.1% |
Michelle Lahrkamp | 15.0% | 13.4% | 13.2% | 11.1% | 10.4% | 8.8% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
Lars Osell | 3.5% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 9.3% | 11.6% | 10.4% | 5.5% |
Samuel Gavula | 4.6% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 2.2% |
Hogan O'Donnell | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 6.8% | 10.6% | 21.4% | 30.9% |
Samuel Ephraim | 1.7% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 6.5% | 9.0% | 16.4% | 42.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.