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📊 Prediction Accuracy
43.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Ocean County College1.73+4.85vs Predicted
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2U. S. Naval Academy2.33+2.26vs Predicted
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3Christopher Newport University1.55+3.47vs Predicted
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4Drexel University1.64+2.35vs Predicted
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5Penn State University1.37+2.07vs Predicted
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6George Washington University1.63+0.32vs Predicted
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7George Washington University0.47+3.01vs Predicted
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8Monmouth University-0.09+3.55vs Predicted
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9Stevens Institute of Technology0.93-0.60vs Predicted
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10University of Pennsylvania0.87-1.28vs Predicted
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11Villanova University0.61-1.56vs Predicted
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12Princeton University0.31-1.54vs Predicted
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13Washington College0.18-2.17vs Predicted
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14Columbia University-0.46-1.45vs Predicted
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15Rutgers University-1.25-0.60vs Predicted
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16St. Mary's College of Maryland2.76-12.70vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.85Ocean County College1.730.1%1st Place
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4.26U. S. Naval Academy2.330.2%1st Place
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6.47Christopher Newport University1.550.1%1st Place
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6.35Drexel University1.640.1%1st Place
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7.07Penn State University1.370.1%1st Place
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6.32George Washington University1.630.1%1st Place
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10.01George Washington University0.470.0%1st Place
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11.55Monmouth University-0.090.0%1st Place
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8.4Stevens Institute of Technology0.930.0%1st Place
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8.72University of Pennsylvania0.870.0%1st Place
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9.44Villanova University0.610.0%1st Place
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10.46Princeton University0.310.0%1st Place
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10.83Washington College0.180.0%1st Place
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12.55Columbia University-0.460.0%1st Place
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14.4Rutgers University-1.250.0%1st Place
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3.3St. Mary's College of Maryland2.760.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zachary Schippe | 8.7% | 10.2% | 10.5% | 10.3% | 10.3% | 10.6% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 2.6% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Hannah Hughes | 18.3% | 15.5% | 13.5% | 11.6% | 10.5% | 9.0% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 3.7% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Annie Eckmann | 8.4% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 8.7% | 10.1% | 9.3% | 9.1% | 9.7% | 9.7% | 7.0% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Chris Myers | 7.3% | 7.5% | 9.5% | 8.8% | 10.1% | 9.6% | 10.9% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 2.3% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Can Akdurak | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 8.2% | 10.6% | 8.8% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Benjaim Helfand | 6.0% | 8.5% | 10.5% | 11.8% | 8.0% | 9.8% | 9.4% | 8.9% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 3.1% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Elias Mattson | 3.2% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 10.4% | 11.7% | 13.1% | 7.2% | 2.5% |
| Brogan Savage | 1.3% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 10.6% | 14.8% | 16.8% | 10.1% |
| Meredith Foor | 3.9% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 9.3% | 9.9% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 3.3% | 1.4% |
| Maxwell Ryder | 4.2% | 3.6% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 11.4% | 8.9% | 8.5% | 10.0% | 5.1% | 3.3% | 0.5% |
| Casey Jackson | 4.1% | 2.5% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 9.5% | 12.2% | 9.4% | 9.0% | 5.5% | 2.2% |
| Adrija Navarro | 1.8% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 10.3% | 11.3% | 11.7% | 10.5% | 5.1% |
| Mason Sheen | 1.7% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 9.8% | 10.7% | 12.9% | 10.9% | 13.0% | 4.7% |
| Gregory Rempe | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 11.2% | 13.5% | 21.8% | 17.9% |
| Taylor Niles | 0.4% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 9.4% | 15.8% | 55.3% |
| Kyle Burgess | 23.8% | 22.5% | 15.8% | 12.6% | 9.1% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.