← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
62.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of Victoria2.65+1.91vs Predicted
-
2University of Washington1.76+2.56vs Predicted
-
3University of Washington1.69+1.72vs Predicted
-
4Western Washington University2.21-0.29vs Predicted
-
6University of Victoria1.79-1.48vs Predicted
-
8University of Puget Sound0.55-1.50vs Predicted
-
10University of Puget Sound1.26-4.53vs Predicted
-
11Western Washington University2.20-7.39vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
2.91University of Victoria2.650.3%1st Place
-
4.56University of Washington1.760.1%1st Place
-
4.72University of Washington1.690.1%1st Place
-
3.71Western Washington University2.210.2%1st Place
-
4.52University of Victoria1.790.1%1st Place
-
6.5University of Puget Sound0.550.0%1st Place
-
5.47University of Puget Sound1.260.1%1st Place
-
3.61Western Washington University2.200.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Neil Hawkes | 25.4% | 24.1% | 19.4% | 11.9% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 2.7% | 1.1% |
| Christopher Fuller | 10.4% | 10.2% | 12.3% | 14.1% | 16.5% | 13.3% | 16.0% | 7.2% |
| Alyce Flanagan | 9.5% | 11.0% | 11.2% | 12.4% | 14.6% | 14.8% | 16.7% | 9.8% |
| Peter McGrath | 17.0% | 16.4% | 14.7% | 16.5% | 14.0% | 12.0% | 6.3% | 3.1% |
| Robert Berry | 8.9% | 12.6% | 13.7% | 13.6% | 14.2% | 15.0% | 14.9% | 7.1% |
| John Elam | 3.5% | 2.8% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 8.3% | 13.3% | 14.6% | 48.0% |
| Mike Knape | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 11.3% | 10.3% | 15.3% | 21.4% | 20.9% |
| Casey Pruitt | 18.3% | 15.9% | 17.7% | 14.9% | 13.9% | 9.1% | 7.4% | 2.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.