Race 5A

john-quinn

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

70.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Logan Mraz 41.2% 29.5% 17.1% 7.2% 3.1% 1.2% 0.6% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Michael Burns 29.5% 28.4% 20.5% 12.3% 6.0% 2.5% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Austin Latimer 5.6% 7.5% 10.8% 12.4% 13.8% 14.9% 13.9% 10.5% 7.5% 2.9%
Oscar Gilroy 4.4% 7.1% 9.3% 14.1% 14.3% 13.4% 13.0% 11.9% 9.2% 3.2%
Griffin Jones 3.6% 5.1% 8.6% 10.8% 12.5% 13.1% 14.0% 13.4% 13.2% 5.7%
Andrew Martin 2.3% 3.2% 5.0% 7.2% 7.5% 9.2% 12.5% 15.8% 23.1% 14.2%
Alexander Pfeffer 4.8% 7.7% 11.2% 13.3% 14.4% 16.2% 12.2% 10.8% 6.7% 2.6%
Imogene Nuss 4.5% 6.0% 9.6% 11.2% 13.7% 13.7% 13.6% 13.8% 9.8% 4.2%
Benjamin Koly 3.5% 4.5% 6.4% 9.2% 11.1% 11.9% 14.5% 16.6% 16.4% 5.9%
Julia Marich 0.6% 0.8% 1.6% 2.1% 3.5% 4.0% 5.1% 7.0% 14.1% 61.1%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.