Race 10B

women-ne-reed

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

46.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Margaret Tautz 12.0% 10.3% 11.5% 9.4% 9.4% 9.3% 9.3% 8.2% 6.5% 5.3% 4.7% 2.1% 2.0%
Elizabeth Whipple 8.3% 8.0% 8.2% 8.0% 9.5% 9.3% 7.9% 7.1% 8.3% 9.1% 6.3% 6.8% 3.2%
Chandler Salisbury 5.9% 7.4% 9.0% 9.0% 7.7% 7.7% 8.7% 8.4% 8.1% 9.8% 7.0% 7.6% 3.7%
Jennifer Proctor 8.6% 7.6% 9.0% 9.3% 7.7% 7.6% 8.8% 9.1% 7.1% 7.5% 8.5% 6.0% 3.2%
Claire Dennis 10.5% 10.9% 10.6% 9.1% 8.2% 8.6% 8.4% 8.3% 8.4% 5.8% 5.0% 4.1% 2.1%
Charlotte Lipschitz 11.1% 9.6% 9.0% 11.1% 9.7% 9.2% 8.8% 6.8% 6.3% 6.6% 5.1% 4.1% 2.6%
Liv Gunnarsson 6.8% 6.1% 5.7% 5.3% 6.6% 5.6% 7.8% 6.6% 8.8% 8.3% 11.1% 11.8% 9.5%
Elizabeth Powers 8.5% 9.1% 8.0% 10.1% 8.2% 8.4% 9.5% 9.0% 8.7% 6.7% 5.3% 5.5% 3.0%
Katherine Doble 4.3% 4.2% 3.7% 4.5% 4.3% 5.6% 5.1% 6.6% 8.0% 9.6% 11.5% 13.5% 19.1%
Jamie Curran 3.3% 3.2% 3.1% 2.5% 2.9% 4.7% 4.1% 6.3% 5.4% 7.0% 10.5% 14.4% 32.6%
Emily Maxwell 10.0% 11.9% 10.9% 9.2% 8.8% 9.9% 7.9% 7.7% 6.7% 6.3% 5.4% 3.2% 2.1%
Alexandra Arntsen 5.1% 5.1% 4.2% 6.6% 6.8% 6.8% 5.9% 7.6% 8.4% 9.3% 9.8% 13.8% 10.6%
Brendan Cook 5.6% 6.6% 7.1% 5.9% 10.2% 7.3% 7.8% 8.3% 9.3% 8.7% 9.8% 7.1% 6.3%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.