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📊 Prediction Accuracy
72.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Salve Regina University0.46+2.23vs Predicted
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2Fairfield University0.59+1.42vs Predicted
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3Bentley University-1.10+3.94vs Predicted
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4Northeastern University-0.19+1.11vs Predicted
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5University of Rhode Island0.70-1.06vs Predicted
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6University of Vermont-0.72+0.05vs Predicted
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7Boston University-1.31+0.50vs Predicted
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8Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.43-0.51vs Predicted
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9McGill University0.01-4.57vs Predicted
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10Brandeis University-1.89-1.48vs Predicted
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11University of Massachusetts at Amherst-2.46-1.64vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.23Salve Regina University0.4621.8%1st Place
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3.42Fairfield University0.5921.8%1st Place
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6.94Bentley University-1.104.7%1st Place
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5.11Northeastern University-0.199.4%1st Place
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3.94University of Rhode Island0.7015.5%1st Place
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6.05University of Vermont-0.725.3%1st Place
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7.5Boston University-1.313.0%1st Place
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7.49Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.433.2%1st Place
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4.43McGill University0.0112.5%1st Place
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8.52Brandeis University-1.891.4%1st Place
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9.36University of Massachusetts at Amherst-2.461.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emil Tullberg | 21.8% | 21.2% | 17.9% | 14.8% | 10.5% | 6.9% | 3.6% | 2.4% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Bryce Vitiello | 21.8% | 18.8% | 16.6% | 14.2% | 10.0% | 9.3% | 5.7% | 2.5% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Wilfred Hynes | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 10.2% | 12.3% | 15.0% | 14.7% | 12.7% | 7.1% |
| Grant Smith | 9.4% | 8.9% | 11.2% | 12.0% | 13.5% | 12.8% | 12.4% | 10.8% | 6.2% | 2.5% | 0.4% |
| John Mason | 15.5% | 15.3% | 15.8% | 15.3% | 14.0% | 9.6% | 7.9% | 3.9% | 2.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Mungo McKemey | 5.3% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 9.2% | 11.0% | 13.0% | 14.4% | 12.8% | 10.5% | 7.0% | 2.4% |
| Danielle Bogacheva | 3.0% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 8.2% | 11.5% | 14.3% | 14.4% | 17.0% | 11.6% |
| Joseph Gedraitis | 3.2% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 11.1% | 15.0% | 18.9% | 15.8% | 9.2% |
| Andrew Richards | 12.5% | 13.2% | 14.1% | 12.1% | 14.1% | 13.2% | 8.9% | 7.2% | 3.3% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Miles Laker | 1.4% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 9.0% | 16.7% | 22.2% | 24.8% |
| Brooklyn Geary | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 11.5% | 20.9% | 44.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.