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📊 Prediction Accuracy
25.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University2.20+5.31vs Predicted
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2Stanford University2.61+2.77vs Predicted
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3Northeastern University1.69+6.70vs Predicted
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4Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.59+4.52vs Predicted
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5Tulane University1.77+2.46vs Predicted
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6George Washington University2.13+0.63vs Predicted
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7University of Vermont0.85+3.52vs Predicted
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8College of Charleston1.88-0.70vs Predicted
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9St. Mary's College of Maryland2.05-2.24vs Predicted
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10U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.22-0.39vs Predicted
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11U. S. Naval Academy1.97-3.75vs Predicted
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12North Carolina State University0.91+1.03vs Predicted
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13Old Dominion University1.59-4.41vs Predicted
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14SUNY Maritime College1.88-6.54vs Predicted
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15University of Pennsylvania1.60-6.47vs Predicted
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16University of Michigan0.08-2.46vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.31Georgetown University2.2010.2%1st Place
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4.77Stanford University2.6114.3%1st Place
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9.7Northeastern University1.693.9%1st Place
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8.52Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.595.1%1st Place
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7.46Tulane University1.777.8%1st Place
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6.63George Washington University2.138.8%1st Place
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10.52University of Vermont0.853.2%1st Place
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7.3College of Charleston1.888.5%1st Place
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6.76St. Mary's College of Maryland2.058.3%1st Place
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9.61U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.223.5%1st Place
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7.25U. S. Naval Academy1.978.0%1st Place
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13.03North Carolina State University0.910.9%1st Place
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8.59Old Dominion University1.594.7%1st Place
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7.46SUNY Maritime College1.886.8%1st Place
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8.53University of Pennsylvania1.604.9%1st Place
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13.54University of Michigan0.081.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Diego Escobar | 10.2% | 9.6% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 9.9% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.4% |
Michelle Lahrkamp | 14.3% | 14.4% | 13.7% | 11.9% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 6.7% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
Adrian van der Wal | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 9.1% | 11.1% | 9.5% | 5.0% |
Nicholas Sessions | 5.1% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 4.3% | 1.8% |
Asher Zittrer | 7.8% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 8.8% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 1.0% |
Cameron Feves | 8.8% | 9.2% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 1.1% | 0.4% |
Nicholas Salvesen | 3.2% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 9.6% | 14.0% | 12.3% | 7.3% |
Axel Stordahl | 8.5% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 2.1% | 0.8% |
Charlie Anderson | 8.3% | 9.6% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 0.4% |
Lars Osell | 3.5% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 9.8% | 9.9% | 8.8% | 4.8% |
Gray Benson | 8.0% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 2.1% | 0.4% |
Hogan O'Donnell | 0.9% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 11.1% | 21.2% | 31.2% |
Andrew Ciszewski | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 4.8% | 2.2% |
Spencer Barnes | 6.8% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 2.5% | 0.9% |
Samuel Gavula | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 8.9% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 1.7% |
Samuel Ephraim | 1.4% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 6.6% | 8.7% | 19.8% | 41.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.