Race 11B

navy-spring

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

37.5%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Michelle Lahrkamp 15.9% 14.0% 13.4% 10.8% 8.6% 8.0% 7.5% 6.7% 6.3% 3.2% 2.4% 1.8% 0.9% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Gray Benson 6.9% 6.9% 6.4% 9.4% 7.0% 7.6% 7.0% 7.2% 7.2% 6.9% 7.5% 6.7% 5.5% 4.2% 2.7% 0.9%
Nicholas Sessions 5.7% 5.7% 6.0% 6.6% 5.9% 6.5% 6.9% 8.1% 6.7% 7.8% 7.0% 6.7% 8.2% 6.5% 4.5% 1.5%
Adrian van der Wal 4.7% 4.0% 3.8% 4.0% 3.5% 4.6% 5.5% 6.0% 5.9% 7.5% 8.2% 7.9% 8.8% 11.3% 9.4% 4.8%
Samuel Gavula 5.5% 5.1% 4.7% 5.4% 6.1% 6.2% 6.4% 7.1% 6.9% 7.8% 6.9% 9.0% 8.3% 6.8% 5.5% 2.4%
Charlie Anderson 8.5% 8.8% 9.7% 7.3% 8.3% 9.3% 7.6% 7.3% 6.0% 7.0% 7.1% 4.5% 3.6% 3.2% 1.4% 0.3%
Andrew Ciszewski 5.2% 5.8% 5.5% 5.1% 6.1% 5.9% 7.0% 5.9% 7.6% 7.2% 7.7% 8.4% 8.2% 7.4% 5.0% 1.9%
Diego Escobar 9.5% 10.1% 8.9% 8.0% 9.2% 8.1% 8.5% 8.6% 7.7% 6.7% 4.4% 3.5% 3.1% 1.8% 1.4% 0.4%
Lars Osell 2.7% 3.5% 4.7% 4.2% 5.5% 3.8% 5.9% 5.3% 5.8% 7.1% 8.1% 8.9% 8.8% 11.2% 9.4% 5.0%
Axel Stordahl 6.5% 7.9% 7.7% 8.8% 8.2% 7.8% 7.5% 6.9% 6.6% 6.6% 6.5% 5.8% 6.1% 4.4% 2.1% 0.7%
Cameron Feves 9.8% 9.0% 8.9% 8.1% 9.2% 8.5% 6.9% 8.6% 8.0% 6.0% 5.5% 4.2% 3.2% 2.5% 1.1% 0.3%
Hogan O'Donnell 1.4% 1.7% 1.6% 1.8% 1.9% 2.4% 2.4% 2.4% 2.4% 3.7% 4.3% 5.2% 7.4% 10.6% 21.6% 29.2%
Samuel Ephraim 1.1% 1.2% 1.6% 1.2% 1.1% 1.2% 1.7% 1.4% 2.4% 2.6% 4.5% 4.7% 5.5% 8.9% 17.4% 43.6%
Spencer Barnes 6.5% 6.6% 6.8% 7.1% 8.1% 7.4% 7.5% 7.0% 8.0% 6.8% 7.1% 8.2% 5.8% 4.5% 2.1% 0.6%
Asher Zittrer 7.1% 6.7% 7.2% 7.8% 7.5% 7.8% 8.1% 7.0% 7.3% 7.2% 6.2% 5.5% 6.2% 4.7% 2.8% 0.9%
Nicholas Salvesen 3.0% 2.9% 3.2% 4.2% 3.8% 4.8% 3.5% 4.5% 5.3% 5.8% 6.7% 8.8% 10.3% 11.9% 13.5% 7.7%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.