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📊 Prediction Accuracy
37.5%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1George Washington University2.13+5.66vs Predicted
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2Stanford University2.61+2.73vs Predicted
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3College of Charleston1.88+4.32vs Predicted
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4U. S. Naval Academy1.97+3.41vs Predicted
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5Northeastern University1.69+4.77vs Predicted
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6University of Pennsylvania1.60+2.59vs Predicted
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7Old Dominion University1.59+1.62vs Predicted
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8SUNY Maritime College1.88-0.56vs Predicted
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9University of Vermont0.85+1.28vs Predicted
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10Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.59-1.60vs Predicted
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11North Carolina State University0.91+1.91vs Predicted
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12Georgetown University2.20-5.58vs Predicted
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13U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.22-3.30vs Predicted
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14University of Michigan0.08-0.55vs Predicted
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15St. Mary's College of Maryland2.05-8.25vs Predicted
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16Tulane University1.77-8.45vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.66George Washington University2.139.3%1st Place
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4.73Stanford University2.6115.6%1st Place
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7.32College of Charleston1.887.0%1st Place
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7.41U. S. Naval Academy1.977.3%1st Place
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9.77Northeastern University1.693.8%1st Place
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8.59University of Pennsylvania1.605.0%1st Place
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8.62Old Dominion University1.595.2%1st Place
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7.44SUNY Maritime College1.886.9%1st Place
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10.28University of Vermont0.853.1%1st Place
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8.4Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.596.3%1st Place
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12.91North Carolina State University0.911.3%1st Place
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6.42Georgetown University2.208.5%1st Place
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9.7U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.223.8%1st Place
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13.45University of Michigan0.081.1%1st Place
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6.75St. Mary's College of Maryland2.058.8%1st Place
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7.55Tulane University1.777.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Cameron Feves | 9.3% | 8.1% | 9.0% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 9.2% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 2.5% | 1.3% | 0.5% |
Michelle Lahrkamp | 15.6% | 14.7% | 12.5% | 11.7% | 10.4% | 9.1% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
Axel Stordahl | 7.0% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 2.4% | 0.8% |
Gray Benson | 7.3% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 8.4% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 2.4% | 0.8% |
Adrian van der Wal | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 8.4% | 9.0% | 11.1% | 9.8% | 5.1% |
Samuel Gavula | 5.0% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 5.7% | 1.9% |
Andrew Ciszewski | 5.2% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 1.4% |
Spencer Barnes | 6.9% | 8.8% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 4.1% | 2.7% | 0.9% |
Nicholas Salvesen | 3.1% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 9.4% | 12.5% | 11.7% | 7.0% |
Nicholas Sessions | 6.3% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 4.5% | 1.9% |
Hogan O'Donnell | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 10.5% | 21.3% | 29.9% |
Diego Escobar | 8.5% | 9.2% | 11.1% | 8.9% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 1.0% | 0.3% |
Lars Osell | 3.8% | 5.0% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 9.3% | 10.0% | 5.2% |
Samuel Ephraim | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 5.9% | 8.8% | 17.3% | 42.6% |
Charlie Anderson | 8.8% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 1.5% | 0.5% |
Asher Zittrer | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 3.0% | 1.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.