Race 14B

navy-spring

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

37.5%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Adrian van der Wal 3.6% 4.1% 4.1% 4.7% 4.9% 4.8% 5.3% 5.9% 6.5% 7.6% 8.9% 8.2% 8.6% 9.6% 8.3% 4.8%
Charlie Anderson 9.0% 9.1% 9.6% 8.2% 8.2% 7.4% 7.8% 8.7% 7.3% 5.8% 5.7% 5.0% 3.6% 2.8% 1.5% 0.4%
Gray Benson 7.3% 6.3% 6.7% 7.5% 7.8% 7.6% 8.2% 7.2% 7.8% 6.8% 7.2% 6.1% 5.7% 4.5% 2.6% 0.7%
Asher Zittrer 7.2% 7.3% 6.5% 7.7% 7.8% 8.1% 7.7% 6.9% 6.6% 7.4% 6.9% 6.4% 5.5% 4.8% 2.5% 0.8%
Cameron Feves 9.1% 8.3% 9.9% 8.9% 9.0% 8.0% 7.5% 7.2% 6.5% 6.9% 5.7% 4.7% 3.4% 2.9% 1.5% 0.4%
Lars Osell 3.7% 3.7% 3.9% 4.8% 3.7% 5.2% 5.3% 5.5% 6.3% 8.0% 7.1% 8.2% 9.0% 10.3% 9.9% 5.1%
Nicholas Sessions 5.1% 5.0% 5.4% 5.8% 5.9% 6.6% 6.7% 7.8% 7.4% 6.7% 7.8% 8.1% 8.1% 7.7% 5.0% 1.1%
Diego Escobar 9.4% 9.6% 9.1% 8.7% 9.8% 8.6% 7.2% 7.6% 8.2% 6.0% 5.1% 3.8% 3.6% 2.1% 1.0% 0.1%
Samuel Gavula 5.3% 5.4% 5.7% 5.5% 6.1% 5.1% 6.7% 6.2% 7.1% 7.2% 8.6% 8.1% 8.2% 8.2% 4.8% 2.0%
Michelle Lahrkamp 16.1% 15.8% 12.0% 10.7% 9.2% 8.7% 7.3% 7.1% 4.6% 3.5% 2.1% 1.4% 1.1% 0.2% 0.2% 0.0%
Hogan O'Donnell 1.5% 1.4% 1.7% 1.7% 1.8% 2.1% 1.9% 2.3% 3.3% 3.9% 4.7% 5.0% 7.5% 9.8% 21.1% 30.3%
Spencer Barnes 7.4% 6.8% 6.7% 6.9% 7.6% 8.4% 7.3% 7.3% 6.9% 7.0% 6.9% 6.3% 5.9% 4.2% 3.4% 0.9%
Andrew Ciszewski 4.8% 4.8% 5.5% 6.3% 5.5% 6.9% 6.9% 6.8% 7.1% 7.2% 6.7% 8.1% 8.3% 7.8% 5.2% 2.1%
Axel Stordahl 6.8% 8.4% 8.8% 7.2% 7.2% 7.0% 8.0% 6.6% 7.4% 7.0% 6.8% 7.0% 5.0% 3.7% 2.1% 0.9%
Samuel Ephraim 0.7% 1.2% 1.2% 2.0% 1.2% 1.3% 1.4% 1.8% 1.9% 3.0% 3.5% 5.3% 6.4% 8.5% 17.9% 42.6%
Nicholas Salvesen 3.0% 2.9% 3.4% 3.5% 4.2% 4.2% 4.8% 4.8% 5.1% 5.9% 6.3% 8.3% 10.0% 12.8% 13.1% 7.7%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.