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📊 Prediction Accuracy
37.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1St. Mary's College of Maryland2.76+2.22vs Predicted
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2George Washington University1.63+4.14vs Predicted
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3Penn State University1.37+3.96vs Predicted
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4Ocean County College1.73+2.01vs Predicted
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5U. S. Naval Academy2.33-0.75vs Predicted
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6Monmouth University-0.09+5.62vs Predicted
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7George Washington University0.47+2.94vs Predicted
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8Christopher Newport University1.55-1.72vs Predicted
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9Stevens Institute of Technology0.93-0.69vs Predicted
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10University of Pennsylvania0.87-1.34vs Predicted
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11Villanova University0.31-0.67vs Predicted
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12Drexel University1.64-5.79vs Predicted
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13Washington College0.18-2.22vs Predicted
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14Princeton University0.31-3.70vs Predicted
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15Columbia University-0.46-2.34vs Predicted
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16Rutgers University-1.25-1.67vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.22St. Mary's College of Maryland2.760.3%1st Place
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6.14George Washington University1.630.1%1st Place
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6.96Penn State University1.370.1%1st Place
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6.01Ocean County College1.730.1%1st Place
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4.25U. S. Naval Academy2.330.2%1st Place
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11.62Monmouth University-0.090.0%1st Place
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9.94George Washington University0.470.0%1st Place
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6.28Christopher Newport University1.550.1%1st Place
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8.31Stevens Institute of Technology0.930.0%1st Place
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8.66University of Pennsylvania0.870.0%1st Place
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10.33Villanova University0.310.0%1st Place
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6.21Drexel University1.640.1%1st Place
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10.78Washington College0.180.0%1st Place
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10.3Princeton University0.310.0%1st Place
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12.66Columbia University-0.460.0%1st Place
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14.33Rutgers University-1.250.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kyle Burgess | 26.2% | 21.6% | 17.1% | 9.9% | 8.9% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 2.5% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Benjaim Helfand | 8.2% | 8.5% | 10.6% | 10.0% | 9.6% | 9.9% | 8.8% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 5.3% | 3.5% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Can Akdurak | 6.8% | 5.8% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 9.4% | 10.2% | 10.4% | 8.2% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 0.1% |
| Zachary Schippe | 7.5% | 10.5% | 8.3% | 10.7% | 9.4% | 11.6% | 9.1% | 9.0% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Hannah Hughes | 15.2% | 16.0% | 15.5% | 12.0% | 12.0% | 9.9% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Brogan Savage | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 11.2% | 13.1% | 17.6% | 9.7% |
| Elias Mattson | 2.6% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 3.8% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 9.2% | 9.1% | 10.9% | 11.5% | 10.8% | 7.0% | 3.0% |
| Annie Eckmann | 7.2% | 9.0% | 8.4% | 9.7% | 9.7% | 9.9% | 10.4% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Meredith Foor | 4.8% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 9.5% | 10.3% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 3.0% | 0.7% |
| Maxwell Ryder | 3.7% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 10.5% | 11.6% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 3.1% | 0.9% |
| Meghan Joumas | 3.1% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 8.8% | 11.6% | 12.4% | 11.8% | 9.9% | 3.4% |
| Chris Myers | 8.1% | 7.5% | 9.6% | 12.3% | 9.2% | 8.9% | 7.9% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 2.6% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Mason Sheen | 1.4% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 9.6% | 10.2% | 12.4% | 12.3% | 11.2% | 5.3% |
| Adrija Navarro | 2.6% | 1.6% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 9.7% | 10.5% | 11.9% | 12.2% | 7.3% | 4.3% |
| Gregory Rempe | 1.1% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 5.6% | 8.1% | 9.6% | 13.9% | 22.4% | 19.5% |
| Taylor Niles | 0.1% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 6.2% | 8.6% | 16.0% | 52.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.