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📊 Prediction Accuracy
63.6%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Bentley University-1.10+6.04vs Predicted
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2Salve Regina University0.46+1.19vs Predicted
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3Northeastern University-0.19+2.02vs Predicted
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4University of Rhode Island0.70+0.08vs Predicted
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5McGill University0.01-0.60vs Predicted
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6Boston University-1.31+1.56vs Predicted
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7Brandeis University-1.89+1.43vs Predicted
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8University of Vermont-0.72-2.04vs Predicted
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9Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.43-1.43vs Predicted
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10Fairfield University0.59-6.57vs Predicted
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11University of Massachusetts at Amherst-2.46-1.69vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.04Bentley University-1.103.4%1st Place
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3.19Salve Regina University0.4623.6%1st Place
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5.02Northeastern University-0.198.6%1st Place
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4.08University of Rhode Island0.7014.1%1st Place
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4.4McGill University0.0112.8%1st Place
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7.56Boston University-1.313.2%1st Place
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8.43Brandeis University-1.892.3%1st Place
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5.96University of Vermont-0.726.6%1st Place
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7.57Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.433.0%1st Place
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3.43Fairfield University0.5921.1%1st Place
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9.31University of Massachusetts at Amherst-2.461.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Wilfred Hynes | 3.4% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 6.2% | 8.1% | 10.3% | 11.7% | 16.2% | 16.1% | 12.9% | 6.0% |
Emil Tullberg | 23.6% | 20.9% | 16.4% | 15.3% | 9.7% | 7.3% | 3.6% | 2.3% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
Grant Smith | 8.6% | 11.7% | 10.9% | 11.8% | 13.1% | 13.2% | 12.0% | 9.8% | 5.5% | 2.9% | 0.4% |
John Mason | 14.1% | 15.7% | 15.5% | 14.0% | 12.8% | 10.7% | 9.5% | 4.8% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
Andrew Richards | 12.8% | 11.6% | 13.9% | 14.3% | 14.4% | 12.5% | 10.0% | 6.9% | 2.5% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
Danielle Bogacheva | 3.2% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 7.9% | 10.6% | 12.6% | 18.2% | 18.8% | 10.0% |
Miles Laker | 2.3% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 9.2% | 10.8% | 15.6% | 23.6% | 21.8% |
Mungo McKemey | 6.6% | 6.2% | 8.1% | 9.6% | 11.7% | 11.8% | 13.2% | 13.4% | 11.2% | 6.6% | 1.8% |
Joseph Gedraitis | 3.0% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 8.6% | 10.9% | 14.0% | 16.4% | 16.4% | 12.0% |
Bryce Vitiello | 21.1% | 17.8% | 18.5% | 13.8% | 11.3% | 8.9% | 4.8% | 2.4% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
Brooklyn Geary | 1.1% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 7.0% | 10.8% | 16.6% | 47.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.