← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

63.6%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Wilfred Hynes 3.4% 4.9% 4.3% 6.2% 8.1% 10.3% 11.7% 16.2% 16.1% 12.9% 6.0%
Emil Tullberg 23.6% 20.9% 16.4% 15.3% 9.7% 7.3% 3.6% 2.3% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
Grant Smith 8.6% 11.7% 10.9% 11.8% 13.1% 13.2% 12.0% 9.8% 5.5% 2.9% 0.4%
John Mason 14.1% 15.7% 15.5% 14.0% 12.8% 10.7% 9.5% 4.8% 2.1% 0.8% 0.1%
Andrew Richards 12.8% 11.6% 13.9% 14.3% 14.4% 12.5% 10.0% 6.9% 2.5% 0.9% 0.1%
Danielle Bogacheva 3.2% 3.5% 4.5% 5.0% 5.8% 7.9% 10.6% 12.6% 18.2% 18.8% 10.0%
Miles Laker 2.3% 2.1% 2.3% 3.4% 4.0% 4.9% 9.2% 10.8% 15.6% 23.6% 21.8%
Mungo McKemey 6.6% 6.2% 8.1% 9.6% 11.7% 11.8% 13.2% 13.4% 11.2% 6.6% 1.8%
Joseph Gedraitis 3.0% 3.5% 4.3% 4.5% 6.2% 8.6% 10.9% 14.0% 16.4% 16.4% 12.0%
Bryce Vitiello 21.1% 17.8% 18.5% 13.8% 11.3% 8.9% 4.8% 2.4% 1.0% 0.4% 0.0%
Brooklyn Geary 1.1% 2.1% 1.2% 2.1% 3.0% 3.9% 4.4% 7.0% 10.8% 16.6% 47.8%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.