Race 1 - mcsa-women-fleet-race | College Sailing Data

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

100.0%

Within 2 Positions

0.9

Avg Position Diff

4

Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

1

Lillian Nemeth & Eva Bambakidis

Northwestern University

0.77

+1.29

vs Predicted
2

Marissa Tegeder & Sophie Lusty

University of Wisconsin

0.36

+0.55

vs Predicted
3

Brittany Shabino & Molly Sullivan

Marquette University

0.32

-0.41

vs Predicted
4

Christiana Scheibner & Lily Allen

University of Michigan

0.39

-1.43

vs Predicted

🎯 Predicted Standings

2.29

Lillian Nemeth & Eva Bambakidis

Northwestern University

0.77

31.6%

1st Place
2.55

Marissa Tegeder & Sophie Lusty

University of Wisconsin

0.36

23.8%

1st Place
2.59

Brittany Shabino & Molly Sullivan

Marquette University

0.32

22.3%

1st Place
2.57

Christiana Scheibner & Lily Allen

University of Michigan

0.39

22.2%

1st Place

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper	1	2	3	4
Lillian Nemeth	31.6%	26.4%	23.4%	18.5%
Marissa Tegeder	23.8%	23.9%	25.6%	26.7%
Brittany Shabino	22.3%	24.4%	25.4%	27.9%
Christiana Scheibner	22.2%	25.2%	25.6%	27.0%

Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.