Race 2 - mcsa-women-fleet-race | College Sailing Data

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

100.0%

Within 2 Positions

1.1

Avg Position Diff

4

Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

1

Marissa Tegeder & Sophie Lusty

University of Wisconsin

0.36

+1.54

vs Predicted
2

Brittany Shabino & Molly Sullivan

Marquette University

0.32

+0.60

vs Predicted
3

Lillian Nemeth & Eva Bambakidis

Northwestern University

0.77

-0.66

vs Predicted
4

Christiana Scheibner & Lily Allen

University of Michigan

0.39

-1.48

vs Predicted

🎯 Predicted Standings

2.54

Marissa Tegeder & Sophie Lusty

University of Wisconsin

0.36

24.4%

1st Place
2.6

Brittany Shabino & Molly Sullivan

Marquette University

0.32

21.9%

1st Place
2.34

Lillian Nemeth & Eva Bambakidis

Northwestern University

0.77

29.1%

1st Place
2.52

Christiana Scheibner & Lily Allen

University of Michigan

0.39

24.6%

1st Place

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper	1	2	3	4
Marissa Tegeder	24.4%	23.9%	24.8%	26.9%
Brittany Shabino	21.9%	24.1%	26.2%	27.8%
Lillian Nemeth	29.1%	27.5%	23.6%	19.8%
Christiana Scheibner	24.6%	24.6%	25.3%	25.6%

Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.