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📊 Prediction Accuracy
46.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University2.31+3.46vs Predicted
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2Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.81+1.40vs Predicted
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3Yale University2.45+1.17vs Predicted
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4Roger Williams University1.17+3.23vs Predicted
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5Salve Regina University2.29-0.54vs Predicted
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6Boston University1.71-0.19vs Predicted
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7Harvard University1.41-0.49vs Predicted
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8Northeastern University2.16-3.26vs Predicted
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9Brandeis University-0.15+1.11vs Predicted
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12Bentley University0.92-4.25vs Predicted
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13University of New Hampshire-0.53-2.31vs Predicted
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14Middlebury College-0.72-2.78vs Predicted
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15University of Connecticut-0.26-4.54vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.46Tufts University2.310.1%1st Place
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3.4Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.810.2%1st Place
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4.17Yale University2.450.1%1st Place
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7.23Roger Williams University1.170.0%1st Place
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4.46Salve Regina University2.290.1%1st Place
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5.81Boston University1.710.1%1st Place
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6.51Harvard University1.410.1%1st Place
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4.74Northeastern University2.160.1%1st Place
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10.11Brandeis University-0.150.0%1st Place
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7.75Bentley University0.920.0%1st Place
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10.69University of New Hampshire-0.530.0%1st Place
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11.22Middlebury College-0.720.0%1st Place
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10.46University of Connecticut-0.260.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cameron Barclift | 13.7% | 13.7% | 13.2% | 13.0% | 11.4% | 11.3% | 10.8% | 6.6% | 3.8% | 1.9% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Christopher Ford | 22.5% | 19.3% | 16.7% | 13.7% | 10.8% | 7.6% | 4.4% | 2.9% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Eric Anderson | 13.7% | 16.3% | 13.7% | 13.8% | 14.0% | 10.9% | 7.7% | 6.0% | 2.4% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jack Hunger | 3.6% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 11.3% | 9.2% | 12.8% | 16.2% | 11.4% | 8.0% | 3.3% | 0.8% |
| Christopher Jensen | 13.8% | 13.9% | 13.3% | 12.7% | 11.8% | 11.0% | 8.9% | 7.9% | 4.6% | 1.6% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Zachary Vickerson | 7.7% | 7.9% | 9.1% | 10.1% | 10.6% | 11.1% | 11.8% | 12.5% | 9.1% | 6.2% | 3.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Adam Brodheim | 6.9% | 4.8% | 8.6% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 9.1% | 11.7% | 14.3% | 13.3% | 9.8% | 4.0% | 1.9% | 0.3% |
| Peter Christensen | 11.4% | 12.5% | 11.2% | 12.4% | 13.8% | 12.4% | 11.4% | 6.9% | 5.0% | 2.3% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sarah Hyman | 1.0% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 8.3% | 14.6% | 19.0% | 20.1% | 17.2% |
| Tyler Durant | 3.4% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 11.3% | 11.8% | 15.5% | 15.0% | 10.1% | 4.9% | 2.2% |
| Joshua Kegan | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 4.9% | 8.0% | 12.3% | 18.5% | 24.1% | 22.6% |
| Julian Macrone | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 1.4% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 4.9% | 9.4% | 14.7% | 22.6% | 37.5% |
| Kimberly Jackman | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 2.3% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 7.7% | 14.0% | 19.8% | 22.5% | 19.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.