Race 7A

firefly-fj-invitational

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

38.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Christopher Ford 21.9% 18.5% 17.8% 13.6% 9.8% 8.2% 4.5% 4.0% 1.2% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Eric Anderson 15.4% 14.8% 16.3% 13.6% 11.5% 9.9% 7.4% 6.5% 2.7% 1.2% 0.7% 0.0% 0.0%
Christopher Jensen 12.2% 13.1% 14.4% 12.1% 13.9% 11.2% 10.4% 6.6% 4.0% 1.8% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
Tyler Durant 2.8% 2.8% 5.3% 4.9% 6.6% 7.0% 10.2% 11.6% 16.5% 14.2% 10.7% 6.4% 1.0%
Cameron Barclift 13.8% 15.3% 12.5% 12.2% 12.7% 11.5% 9.3% 6.9% 3.6% 1.5% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0%
Zachary Vickerson 8.7% 8.0% 7.5% 10.7% 9.8% 11.9% 12.9% 11.6% 10.2% 4.8% 3.0% 0.9% 0.0%
Peter Christensen 12.8% 13.5% 10.7% 12.7% 11.7% 11.6% 9.8% 8.9% 5.0% 2.5% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0%
Julian Macrone 0.4% 0.9% 1.0% 1.1% 1.0% 2.4% 2.6% 2.6% 4.6% 9.9% 15.1% 23.8% 34.6%
Adam Brodheim 6.1% 5.0% 6.7% 7.1% 9.3% 10.1% 12.7% 13.2% 13.4% 9.7% 4.3% 1.9% 0.5%
Kimberly Jackman 1.0% 0.8% 2.1% 2.3% 2.2% 2.2% 2.8% 4.5% 9.1% 13.5% 19.2% 21.3% 19.0%
Sarah Hyman 1.0% 1.1% 1.0% 2.0% 2.2% 3.9% 4.3% 6.5% 9.1% 16.1% 20.9% 17.8% 14.1%
Jack Hunger 3.3% 5.5% 3.8% 6.7% 7.9% 8.5% 10.0% 13.1% 14.8% 14.1% 7.0% 4.2% 1.1%
Joshua Kegan 0.6% 0.7% 0.9% 1.0% 1.4% 1.6% 3.1% 4.0% 5.8% 10.3% 17.7% 23.2% 29.7%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.