Race 4 - mcsa-women-fleet-race | College Sailing Data

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

100.0%

Within 2 Positions

1.0

Avg Position Diff

4

Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

1

Marissa Tegeder & Sophie Lusty

University of Wisconsin

0.36

+1.64

vs Predicted
2

Lillian Nemeth & Eva Bambakidis

Northwestern University

0.77

+0.38

vs Predicted
3

Emily Pytell & Caroline Grin

University of Michigan

0.85

-0.75

vs Predicted
4

Brittany Shabino & Molly Sullivan

Marquette University

0.32

-1.27

vs Predicted

🎯 Predicted Standings

2.64

Marissa Tegeder & Sophie Lusty

University of Wisconsin

0.36

21.1%

1st Place
2.38

Lillian Nemeth & Eva Bambakidis

Northwestern University

0.77

27.7%

1st Place
2.25

Emily Pytell & Caroline Grin

University of Michigan

0.85

31.8%

1st Place
2.73

Brittany Shabino & Molly Sullivan

Marquette University

0.32

19.4%

1st Place

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper	1	2	3	4
Marissa Tegeder	21.1%	23.5%	25.3%	30.0%
Lillian Nemeth	27.7%	27.0%	25.4%	20.0%
Emily Pytell	31.8%	27.9%	24.0%	16.4%
Brittany Shabino	19.4%	21.6%	25.3%	33.7%

Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.