Race 5 - mcsa-women-fleet-race | College Sailing Data

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

100.0%

Within 2 Positions

1.1

Avg Position Diff

4

Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

1

Brittany Shabino & Molly Sullivan

Marquette University

0.32

+1.58

vs Predicted
2

Christiana Scheibner & Caroline Grin

University of Michigan

0.39

+0.61

vs Predicted
3

Marissa Tegeder & Sophie Lusty

University of Wisconsin

0.36

-0.47

vs Predicted
4

Lillian Nemeth & Annabel Edwards

Northwestern University

0.77

-1.73

vs Predicted

🎯 Predicted Standings

2.58

Brittany Shabino & Molly Sullivan

Marquette University

0.32

22.6%

1st Place
2.61

Christiana Scheibner & Caroline Grin

University of Michigan

0.39

22.4%

1st Place
2.53

Marissa Tegeder & Sophie Lusty

University of Wisconsin

0.36

24.4%

1st Place
2.27

Lillian Nemeth & Annabel Edwards

Northwestern University

0.77

30.6%

1st Place

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper	1	2	3	4
Brittany Shabino	22.6%	23.8%	26.2%	27.4%
Christiana Scheibner	22.4%	23.3%	25.2%	29.1%
Marissa Tegeder	24.4%	24.2%	24.9%	26.5%
Lillian Nemeth	30.6%	28.6%	23.8%	17.0%

Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.