Race 11A

firefly-fj-invitational

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

15.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Cameron Barclift 13.5% 13.3% 13.9% 12.6% 11.8% 11.8% 10.2% 6.4% 4.0% 2.2% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
Christopher Ford 22.5% 19.9% 17.1% 12.0% 11.5% 7.8% 4.6% 2.6% 1.5% 0.2% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
Eric Anderson 13.4% 17.3% 14.1% 13.9% 12.5% 10.8% 8.5% 5.3% 2.8% 1.2% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Tyler Durant 2.7% 3.8% 4.0% 6.1% 4.6% 8.5% 8.5% 14.0% 14.7% 15.6% 10.6% 5.7% 1.2%
Jack Hunger 4.0% 4.9% 6.5% 6.5% 8.4% 9.2% 10.5% 12.3% 14.6% 12.4% 6.9% 3.2% 0.6%
Sarah Hyman 0.6% 0.8% 2.2% 2.0% 2.6% 2.9% 3.7% 5.1% 8.6% 15.0% 21.7% 20.4% 14.4%
Peter Christensen 13.0% 12.0% 12.2% 11.9% 12.9% 11.6% 8.7% 8.0% 6.2% 2.3% 0.8% 0.4% 0.0%
Adam Brodheim 5.5% 7.4% 5.5% 7.5% 9.6% 8.8% 12.8% 14.3% 12.9% 9.7% 4.2% 1.5% 0.3%
Zachary Vickerson 7.6% 7.5% 8.3% 10.3% 9.3% 10.9% 14.4% 11.2% 10.0% 5.9% 3.6% 0.8% 0.2%
Christopher Jensen 15.1% 11.2% 14.2% 13.3% 11.6% 10.8% 9.3% 7.3% 3.8% 2.4% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
Kimberly Jackman 0.7% 0.9% 0.7% 1.6% 2.4% 3.7% 4.8% 5.7% 9.0% 13.1% 20.7% 21.0% 15.7%
Joshua Kegan 0.7% 0.6% 0.8% 1.2% 1.6% 1.8% 2.6% 4.2% 7.2% 10.2% 14.2% 24.6% 30.3%
Julian Macrone 0.7% 0.4% 0.5% 1.1% 1.2% 1.4% 1.4% 3.6% 4.7% 9.8% 15.8% 22.1% 37.3%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.