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📊 Prediction Accuracy
54.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Salve Regina University0.46+2.24vs Predicted
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2Northeastern University-0.19+3.01vs Predicted
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3Boston University-1.31+4.50vs Predicted
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4Fairfield University0.59-0.62vs Predicted
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5University of Vermont-0.72+1.08vs Predicted
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6McGill University0.01-1.54vs Predicted
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7Bentley University-1.10-0.06vs Predicted
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8University of Rhode Island0.70-3.93vs Predicted
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9Brandeis University-1.89-0.51vs Predicted
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10Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.43-2.53vs Predicted
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11University of Massachusetts at Amherst-2.46-1.64vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.24Salve Regina University0.4620.8%1st Place
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5.01Northeastern University-0.1911.1%1st Place
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7.5Boston University-1.313.5%1st Place
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3.38Fairfield University0.5920.6%1st Place
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6.08University of Vermont-0.725.9%1st Place
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4.46McGill University0.0112.7%1st Place
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6.94Bentley University-1.104.2%1st Place
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4.07University of Rhode Island0.7015.0%1st Place
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8.49Brandeis University-1.891.7%1st Place
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7.47Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.433.1%1st Place
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9.36University of Massachusetts at Amherst-2.461.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emil Tullberg | 20.8% | 22.7% | 17.6% | 15.2% | 9.2% | 7.3% | 3.7% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Grant Smith | 11.1% | 9.2% | 11.2% | 11.3% | 12.6% | 14.1% | 12.3% | 8.8% | 6.8% | 2.3% | 0.4% |
| Danielle Bogacheva | 3.5% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 11.1% | 14.6% | 17.0% | 17.5% | 9.9% |
| Bryce Vitiello | 20.6% | 20.4% | 16.8% | 14.0% | 12.4% | 7.2% | 5.1% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Mungo McKemey | 5.9% | 5.6% | 8.1% | 8.9% | 11.1% | 11.9% | 15.0% | 12.7% | 11.8% | 6.8% | 2.2% |
| Andrew Richards | 12.7% | 12.4% | 13.4% | 13.2% | 13.8% | 13.1% | 10.0% | 6.9% | 2.7% | 1.5% | 0.3% |
| Wilfred Hynes | 4.2% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 8.5% | 10.7% | 13.0% | 13.4% | 15.2% | 13.2% | 6.2% |
| John Mason | 15.0% | 13.4% | 15.6% | 16.4% | 13.0% | 11.6% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Miles Laker | 1.7% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 7.9% | 11.0% | 14.7% | 23.7% | 23.5% |
| Joseph Gedraitis | 3.1% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 11.1% | 15.5% | 17.1% | 15.8% | 9.8% |
| Brooklyn Geary | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 8.3% | 10.3% | 17.6% | 47.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.