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📊 Prediction Accuracy
30.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University2.54+2.35vs Predicted
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2Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.00+4.37vs Predicted
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3Harvard University1.56+2.25vs Predicted
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4Roger Williams University2.97-1.34vs Predicted
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5Boston University2.01-0.77vs Predicted
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7Salve Regina University2.08-2.90vs Predicted
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9Northeastern University1.32-3.36vs Predicted
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10Bentley University0.02-1.75vs Predicted
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11Yale University0.62-3.81vs Predicted
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12Brandeis University-1.37-1.27vs Predicted
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13Middlebury College-1.47-2.16vs Predicted
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15University of New Hampshire-1.74-3.65vs Predicted
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16University of Connecticut-1.50-4.95vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.35Tufts University2.540.2%1st Place
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6.37Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.000.0%1st Place
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5.25Harvard University1.560.1%1st Place
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2.66Roger Williams University2.970.3%1st Place
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4.23Boston University2.010.1%1st Place
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4.1Salve Regina University2.080.1%1st Place
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5.64Northeastern University1.320.1%1st Place
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8.25Bentley University0.020.0%1st Place
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7.19Yale University0.620.0%1st Place
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10.73Brandeis University-1.370.0%1st Place
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10.84Middlebury College-1.470.0%1st Place
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11.35University of New Hampshire-1.740.0%1st Place
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11.05University of Connecticut-1.500.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Colin Meade | 20.2% | 19.9% | 18.0% | 14.3% | 13.4% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 2.0% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nicole O'Brien | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 9.4% | 8.9% | 12.8% | 17.0% | 15.6% | 13.1% | 5.7% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| David Mende | 6.5% | 8.1% | 10.3% | 12.9% | 14.2% | 16.5% | 13.5% | 10.3% | 5.0% | 2.0% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Kendal Richardson | 30.7% | 22.3% | 20.5% | 12.3% | 8.0% | 3.7% | 2.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Joseph Benoit | 13.5% | 13.2% | 13.2% | 14.7% | 15.7% | 12.4% | 10.3% | 4.4% | 1.9% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Shannon Killian | 12.2% | 14.9% | 16.0% | 15.4% | 15.2% | 11.8% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Stephen Fletcher | 7.0% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 11.1% | 11.3% | 14.6% | 14.6% | 13.6% | 7.8% | 3.7% | 1.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kristina Schneider | 1.3% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 4.0% | 6.3% | 9.0% | 14.8% | 23.3% | 18.2% | 10.4% | 3.5% | 0.9% |
| Henry Lewis | 2.6% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 10.0% | 13.7% | 18.3% | 19.6% | 10.0% | 4.6% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| Kelsey Dean | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 4.2% | 7.9% | 14.3% | 22.1% | 24.7% | 18.7% |
| Sebastian Kern | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 2.4% | 4.4% | 7.2% | 17.8% | 23.6% | 22.9% | 18.7% |
| Emily Chase | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 3.2% | 5.6% | 11.6% | 16.3% | 23.9% | 34.9% |
| Christopher Baker | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 6.3% | 15.5% | 19.5% | 23.1% | 26.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.