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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University2.54+2.34vs Predicted
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2Roger Williams University2.97+0.64vs Predicted
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3Boston University2.01+1.34vs Predicted
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4Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.00+2.41vs Predicted
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5Salve Regina University2.08-0.88vs Predicted
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7Harvard University1.56-1.87vs Predicted
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8Northeastern University1.32-2.36vs Predicted
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11Yale University0.62-3.89vs Predicted
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12Brandeis University-1.37-1.26vs Predicted
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13Bentley University0.02-4.68vs Predicted
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15University of New Hampshire-1.74-3.79vs Predicted
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16Middlebury College-1.47-5.04vs Predicted
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17University of Connecticut-1.50-5.96vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.34Tufts University2.540.2%1st Place
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2.64Roger Williams University2.970.3%1st Place
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4.34Boston University2.010.1%1st Place
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6.41Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.000.0%1st Place
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4.12Salve Regina University2.080.1%1st Place
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5.13Harvard University1.560.1%1st Place
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5.64Northeastern University1.320.1%1st Place
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7.11Yale University0.620.0%1st Place
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10.74Brandeis University-1.370.0%1st Place
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8.32Bentley University0.020.0%1st Place
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11.21University of New Hampshire-1.740.0%1st Place
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10.96Middlebury College-1.470.0%1st Place
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11.04University of Connecticut-1.500.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Colin Meade | 21.5% | 17.8% | 17.3% | 16.2% | 12.2% | 8.9% | 3.9% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kendal Richardson | 30.1% | 26.1% | 17.6% | 12.3% | 7.4% | 3.9% | 2.0% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Joseph Benoit | 10.4% | 12.5% | 16.4% | 15.5% | 13.8% | 14.0% | 8.6% | 5.9% | 2.3% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nicole O'Brien | 4.2% | 3.9% | 6.8% | 9.0% | 10.1% | 11.8% | 15.3% | 17.6% | 13.9% | 4.5% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Shannon Killian | 13.2% | 15.5% | 13.8% | 14.9% | 14.0% | 12.8% | 8.8% | 5.3% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| David Mende | 8.4% | 8.6% | 10.4% | 13.2% | 13.2% | 14.2% | 14.4% | 9.9% | 4.9% | 2.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Stephen Fletcher | 6.7% | 7.2% | 8.7% | 9.6% | 12.9% | 13.2% | 16.2% | 13.7% | 7.6% | 3.1% | 1.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Henry Lewis | 3.1% | 5.0% | 3.3% | 4.9% | 6.7% | 10.8% | 15.0% | 16.2% | 19.8% | 10.6% | 3.6% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Kelsey Dean | 0.3% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 2.4% | 4.3% | 7.1% | 16.3% | 21.1% | 21.6% | 21.5% |
| Kristina Schneider | 1.2% | 1.9% | 3.8% | 2.4% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 8.4% | 15.3% | 22.5% | 18.6% | 9.8% | 4.6% | 1.3% |
| Emily Chase | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 3.1% | 5.6% | 14.2% | 20.3% | 24.8% | 27.9% |
| Sebastian Kern | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 7.7% | 15.1% | 20.6% | 23.6% | 23.6% |
| Christopher Baker | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.6% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 3.6% | 6.8% | 13.6% | 21.2% | 23.7% | 25.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.